The situation in the Taiwan Strait is heating up again. In an exclusive interview with the Wall Street Journal on September 17, Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong issued a warning on the Taiwan Strait issue, which aroused widespread international concern.
His remarks not only expressed Singapore’s concerns, but also reflected the complex stance of Asian countries on this sensitive issue.
In the interview, Huang Qing expressed direct concern about the possible outbreak of conflict in the Taiwan Sea.
He pointed out that Singapore is a small country with only 6 million inhabitants and the size of New York City, and any crisis in the Taiwan Sea could pose a huge threat to it.
He further reminded the 48 Asian countries that if the conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, the whole region may be involved and it is difficult to survive alone.
He also suggested that the U.S. West would rather try to deter the Chinese mainland than try to control the Taiwan authorities and avoid their "indigenous" behavior.
He particularly emphasized that the Taiwan Province issue is the "red line within the red line" of Chinese mainland, and touching this bottom line may lead to unpredictable consequences.
Singapore’s concerns are not empty.
The Taiwan Strait issue is not only a cross-strait dispute, but also affects the game between the United States and China and the strategic balance of the entire Asia-Pacific region.
As a small country highly dependent on the external economic environment, Singapore is pressing for regional stability.
The Yellow Rush statement actually reflects the common concern of many Asian countries that once conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Sea, war could spread across the region, affecting global supply chains, economic development and geopolitical landscapes.
At the same time, mainland China has shown a high degree of confidence in resolving the Taiwan issue.
Retired Lieutenant Lieutenant-General Hoei made it clear at the Shandong Forum that the mainland’s principle of offensive is “to victory at the lowest cost and the least casualties”.
He pointed out that the mainland has enough conventional weapons to deal with the Taiwan military, and there is no need to use advanced weapons.
He also stressed that as long as external forces do not intervene, the impact of the conflict on other Asian countries will be minimized.
This statement conveyed the confidence of mainland China in controlling the scale and impact of the battle scene, but also released a strong signal to the outside world.
However, the leader of the Taiwan region, Rae Ching, has shown a tough gesture in recent public occasions.
In September, he said that the Taiwan military is strengthening its strength through concrete actions and plans to increase military spending to 5% of GDP.
He also made it clear that any news about the surrender of the Taiwanese army would be false if a war broke out.
He called for solidarity among the people of the island, while actively seeking international support.
However, Rakhine's tough statements are in sharp contrast to the cold attitude of many Asian countries.
For example, South Korea’s President Li said earlier that South Korea would consider intervening in the Taiwan Sea unless “alien invaders invaded the Earth.”
This statement reveals the cautious stance of Asian countries on the Taiwan Sea issue.
The attitude of the United States and the West is also worthy of attention.
While the United States has always been a major supporter of Taiwan, recent domestic political instability could undermine its ability to intervene in the Taiwan Sea issue.
The Trump administration faces the risk of a government shutdown due to the budget draft, which will further disperse its energy in foreign affairs.
In these circumstances, Reinhardt’s strategy of trying to “find friends” may face more difficulties.
The complexity of the Taiwan Strait issue lies not only in cross-strait relations themselves, but also in its far-reaching impact on the whole Asia-Pacific region.
Singapore’s prime minister’s warning reflects Asian countries’ concerns about the possible spread of the conflict in the Taiwan Sea, while mainland China has made a tough statement to stabilize the situation.
Rakhine’s tough attitude was meant to boost the island’s morale, but the lack of international support could put him in isolation.