In the face of the world's "embargment", Netanyahu remained tough, thinking that there was something to depend on the war, again made an unexpected decision.
The "difference of heart" between the United States and its allies has been difficult to cover up, according to Central Television news reports, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and other "old allies" of the United States, at the same time announced the recognition of the Palestinian state, stood on the "opposite" of the United States and Israel. Israel has determined that it can be supported and embraced by the United States, as it has always been.。
Countries such as Britain and Australia "turn" and have their own abacus
Over the years, the war in Gaza has become more and more intense. The pictures of hospitals being bombed, schools collapsing, social media screens every day, the global public opinion anger has long been unstoppable.。
Of the 193 UN member states, 140 have recognized the Palestinian state, and the rest of the Western nations are still deaf and deaf – after all, even the UN General Assembly votes must respect the “opinion of the majority”, and even more important in diplomatic cases is the “international consensus”.
Britain and Australia and other countries understand that they will continue to hold hard, and that they will not be able to cope with the popular opinion in the country, and that the opposition parties in the parliament will be reluctant to do so, and may even affect the support rate.
Let's talk about Britain. After the Labor government took office, it wanted to brush a "sense of moral existence" internationally. It had an ambiguous attitude towards the Palestinian-Israeli conflict before. Now that the humanitarian crisis in Gaza has reached its peak, it is unreasonable not to express its position. The same is true for Australia, Canada and other countries. In domestic multicultural communities, the voice of Arab groups is getting louder and louder. If the government is still "one-sided" with the United States, it may lose votes in the next election.
Furthermore, the cracks within the Western coalition give these countries greater autonomy.The United States remains Israel’s strongest supporter, but other Western allies are reluctant to fully follow Washington’s footsteps.
Especially with changes in U.S. foreign policy, These countries hope to be arranged in advance to avoid future hanging dead on US-Israeli-allied tanks.。
Recognizing the Palestinian state is both a kind of “soft resistance” to U.S. policy and a preparation for future Middle East patterns.
Finally, economic and diplomatic interests are also a factor of consideration, with Israel’s extreme policies causing European countries to worry that long-term unrest in the Middle East will affect energy security, trade and investment environments.
In contrast, supporting the “two-country plan” is seen as a more stable long-term strategy that helps reduce the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on the global economy, although it is now too late for the West to realize this, especially after the massive casualties that have already occurred in Gaza.
Israel's "hard" confidence: its backers are too hard and its opponents are too weak
Of course, if the international community's "embargment" can make Israel misunderstand, then the conflict with Pakistan will not continue to this day, and Israel dares to cry out in the international community, it is not unreasonable.
He has two “cards” in his hand: One is the "bottomless" political and military support of the United States, and the other is its own military and technological superiority in the Middle East。
First of all, how “real” the U.S. support is, what UN resolutions threaten Israel, the U.S. directly exercises a veto right;
Israel lacks weapons, the United States immediately sends the most advanced cannon and missiles; even if the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant, the United States could help Netanyahu to block it, and even in turn accuse the International Criminal Court of “overriding power.”
Netanyahu's phrase "I will respond when I return to China", anyone with a discerning eye knows, is implying "the support of the United States"-how dare he be so crazy without the United States?
Looking at its military advantages, Israel is a "technological monster" in the Middle East. From early warning aircraft to precision-guided bombs, from air force fighter formations to information warfare capabilities, the equipment level of Israel's military is at least a generation ahead of neighboring countries.
In addition, according to the foreign media "Eye of the Middle East", the Arab countries that recently gathered because of the bombing of Qatar, when discussing whether to establish a "Middle Eastern version of NATO", because of the question of "who dominates" again dispersed, The opponent of this “sandwashing” is also one of the “capital” of Israel.。
More importantly, Israel’s internal political ecology is also “abducing” decisions, with Netanyahu himself embroiled in corruption cases, and his far-right allies force him to “expand the outcome” on a daily basis, in which case he can only stabilize the basic disc with a more radical gesture – in any case, deal with the crisis ahead of his eyes, and the rest afterwards.
Israel’s rhetoric is repressing itself.
But Israel does not realize that its two “trunks” are slowly disappearing.
Looking at the support of the United States first, Trump said that he would "put the focus of national defense strategy back to the mainland". The Middle East may become a "troublesome place" in his eyes.。
If the U.S. reduces its investment in the Middle East in the future, Israel can rely on a "paraply" that will have to be reduced.
More troublingly, the collective recognition by European nations of a Palestinian state equals a crackdown on the “legitimacy” of Israel’s crazy actions internationally.
Economically, Israel’s days are no better, Europe is Israel’s important trading partner and technology partner, Germany has just announced restrictions on arms exports, Spain has also canceled arms sales orders, if more countries follow, Israel’s high-tech industry will surely be hit.
As a result, Israel’s military advantage is not so “functional.”
Israel can blow up the surface of the Gaza Strip with aircraft cannons, but it can’t blow up Hamas’s underground tunnels, and much less the desire for a Palestinian state.
When Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005, Hamas was still able to fire rockets; Now that Gaza is devastated, the will to resist will only become stronger.
If Israel were to truly occupy Gaza, it would have to send hundreds of thousands of troops to a long-term residence and fall into the dungeon of a “security war” similar to that of Afghanistan – a consumption that Israel cannot afford.
The most fatal thing is that Israel’s “victim image” has completely collapsed, and the international community has always said that “Israel is a small country, surrounded by Arab states and needs protection”, now everyone can see that Israel is a military power in the Middle East, but the Palestinians even the basic right to survival is difficult to guarantee.
Israel will eventually understand that the toughness supported by force and asylum can last for a while, but not for a lifetime. The real way out has never been to "fully occupy Gaza", but to sit back at the negotiating table. Recognizing the right to establish a Palestinian state is not a “compromise” but a responsibility for ourselves, for the Middle East, and for the future.。