All this has been done until September 2025, more than three years have passed, the tank gunfire has not stopped, but on the negotiating table is always like a cat cat catch a mouse, can not catch the reality. At first everyone thought that Russia is called a fierce, Putin once launched is lightning war, a few days took Kiev, in exchange for everyone has to pass. But now? the front is long, Ukraine in turn drilled to the Russian mainland to knock the knife, Kursk there is still occupied.
On February 24, 2022, Putin announced on television the launch of a special military operation, the Russian army multi-roads out, headed straight to Kiev, Kharkov and the southern ports. The missiles crashed down like a rainy spot, the ground tanks wearing the border line went off. By law, the Russian military position, the world's second-largest military power, a bunch of nuclear weapons, who dared to see? But not two months later in March, the Russian army withdrew from the outskirts of Kiev, for the reason of adjustment of deployment, to the east line. The battle in Mariupol was not over until May 20, the Azov camp guard surrendered, and the steel plant in ruins. From here, the rhythm changed. Not as a bombardment, but as
Why is this happening? The mainstream view is that Russia's foundation is not so hard. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Russia inherited its legacy, but its military industry was aging, its economy relied on oil and gas, and it was out of breath when sanctions were pressed. The West is assisting Ukraine, with a steady stream of weapons and ammunition, including HIMARS rocket systems and Leopard 2 tanks. In September 2022, Kharkiv, Ukraine, launched a counterattack and recovered more than 3,800 square kilometers of land in a week. In the spring of 2023, Zaporizhzhia also tried to make a breakthrough. Although it did not win a big victory, it held back the Russian army. What about Russia? Old equipment was cleared from the inventory, but new equipment could not be replenished. Mercenaries such as the Wagner Group came on stage. Prigozhin's plane crashed in June 2023, causing a lot of uproar. Putin said it was an accident, but who believed it? The smell of interior cleaning is too strong.
Some analysts pointed directly to Putin’s calculus: the lasting war is not a mistake, it is intentionally done. Why? the core is NATO’s east expansion. Putin stared at this from the top, at the 2007 Munich Security Conference, he openly blasphemed NATO, saying you promised not to expand, as a result of which the Baltic three countries, Poland everything went in. If Ukraine also joined, the Russian border became NATO’s frontline, cannons against Moscow, it was still alive? In December 2021, Russia gave the United States and the North a final message: Don’t let Ukraine enter NATO, withdraw its troops from Eastern Europe.
How did the lasting war help him? first say Ukraine. Three years later, Ukraine's economic mess, infrastructure exploded halfway, the population outflows tens of millions, young people all run to Europe. Join NATO? NATO what do you want, a war ruins, still have to pull the alliance power down. Zelensky wants to enter, but NATO doors half-covered, Washington summit in 2024 only said "the future will consider", no real hammer. Ukraine's value falls quickly, Putin reached the strategic goal: let it neutral, away from the West. reports said that NATO is also intertwined, France Germany doesn't want to mess up, the United States is busy in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, what is the hassle of the heart?
In 2024, European military expenditure rose to 2 percent of GDP, production could not be tracked, factories were slow. What about Russia? By war, inventory was cleared, old tanks missiles were thrown out, new production lines were launched, military industry recovered. Putin also pulled allies, sent shells to North Korea, Iran to drones, China bought oil and gas, and bypassed sanctions. Economic data stands out, Russia's GDP grew 3.6 percent in 2024 and Europe's average 1.2 percent. This is not a decline, it's a strategy to change blood.
Putin has been in power for 25 years, what does it depend on? nationalism and strong man image. Fast war resolution fails, the regime shakes; lasting war? the outside is resisting Western aggression, the inside is united. support rate is more than 70% stable, the president elections in 2024 took him 87%. War shifted sights, Chechnya, the oligarchs who did not obey, all thrown the front line consumed. After the Wagner rebellion, Prigozin died, the military was more obedient. Putin studied history, the war of the Guardian, the Red Army died more than 9 million, won the myth.
The Russian youths are running, society is aging, what about the future?Putin won the strategy and lost the heart.Ukraine is poor, united without precedent, Zelensky’s support has fallen, but the West sees it as a democratic lighthouse.Global view, the war pushed Finland and Sweden into NATO, the border is more than 1300 kilometers, Russia is more crowded.Putin wants to split the West, resulting in the West being a piece of iron.