The eye of the storm of world public opinion

On September 19, on the global stage of the UN General Assembly, a seemingly ¡°procedural¡± vote wiped out the faces of the United States and Israel.
145 voted in favour, only 5 voted against., Palestinian President Abbas received permission to attend the UN General Assembly by video. The two-paper conventions thrown out by China in the final speech are not only a "face-to-face inquiry" in the legal sense, but also a heavy hammer that directly hits the weakness of US-Israel diplomacy.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu may not have expected that this diplomatic confrontation, which was originally thought to be "draggable", is pushing Israel to the brink of international isolation-and the background of all this is the night sky in Gaza, which is being ignited by artillery fire.

1. From Qatar to new york: 48 hours of public opinion reversal

these days, International public opinion trend changes faster than the weather in the Middle East¡£
On September 15, Israel crossed the border and attacked Doha, Qatar-a small Gulf country that has long acted as a regional mediator. This move directly touched the nerves of the Arab and Islamic world. In the evening of the same day, more than 50 countries rushed to hold an emergency summit with only one theme- Full diplomatic and economic condemnation of Israel¡£

Immediately after, the UN Security Council in New York adopted a condemnation statement against Israel. All votes for.-It's rare. But what is intriguing is that this condemnation is not binding, so the United States "generously" voted in favor.

However, when the Council subsequently discussed a Gaza-related Ceasefire and release of hostagesAt the time of the draft, the true face of the United States was exposed- One-vote vetoIt has prevented an imminent international intervention for Israel.

II. 145: 5-A diplomatic slap in the face

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas was scheduled to speak in person to New York. The United States refused to grant him a visa.This is a very rare diplomatic brutality in the U.N. system, so the U.N. General Assembly proposed a shortcut: allowing Abbas to participate through video meetings.

The vote was--
145 votes in favor
5 votes against(United States, Israel, Canada, Micronesia, Palau)

The opposing votes and abstentions in the face of this number of 145, seem bluntly powerless.
This is a symbolic moment in the global diplomatic landscape: on the issue of Israel, the United States and Israel are almost the ¡°islands¡± of the whole field.

China¡¯s ¡°on-the-face questioning¡±: two paper conventions break past

Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United NationsIn his final speech, he directly criticized the United States:

"On the Palestinian issue, there has been a long-term imbalance, arbitrary isolation, and failure to abide by international law and United Nations rules."

More importantly, Geng Shuang took out Two Paper Conventions£º

1. Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations
2. United Nations Headquarters Agreement and Convention on the Privileges and Immunities of the United Nations

The core of these documents is Equality of national sovereigntyThe leaders of any country have equal right of speech and participation at the United Nations.This is not only a face-to-face law against U.S. rejection, but also a reminder to the world: The rules of the current international system are being willfully destroyed by a few countries.

Here is a key information addition:
The Vienna Conventionand Headquarters AgreementMore than just diplomatic customs, they are the foundation of the UN¡¯s ultimate institutions that can maintain balance.The system may break from the ground when the great powers begin to selectively abide by it.

4. Gaza: It's not just the city that burns

Since a new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out in October, Gaza's Civilian casualty dataSurprisingly touched ¨C
More than 60,000 people diedThe vast majority are unarmed Palestinian civilians.

What does it mean?
This means that the war targets have been from fighting Hamas, Moving to an undifferentiated hit on the entire population-intensive area¡£

France, Britain, Spain, Italy and other countries have announced partial or complete arms embargoes on Israel; Australia, Britain and Spain are still planning to formally recognize them at the UN General Assembly Palestinian state¡£
This trend is pushing Israel to the most isolated geopolitical position in history ¡ª even more passive than it was after the 1973 Atonement Day War.

Netanyahu¡¯s ¡°unbelief¡±

Faced with pressure, Netanyahu¡¯s reaction was ¨C Added¡£
He recently acknowledged Israel¡¯s international isolation and said Israel needs to develop its own weapons industry and get rid of its dependence on imports.

The voice does not fall. Massive bombing in Gaza City at night.Minister of Defense Garant even used a whispering expression:

¡°Gaza is burning.¡±

This kind of words and deeds is more like a provocation to international public opinion. Strategically, this means that Israel has chosen a kind of "reverse deterrence"-instead of restraint, it uses greater military actions to force the outside world to accept a fait accompli.

The game behind the scenes ¨C who is the real ¡°carrier¡±?

Many observers ignore an important logic: Israel dares to do so because there is America behind it in the long-term ¡°shutdown¡±.

From intelligence, military aid to diplomatic protection, the United States has blocked key bills for Israel on almost all international platforms. But this time, the loophole is- When America¡¯s position is directly opposed to that of more than 80 percent of the world¡¯s nations, it will also be uncompromising.¡£

By throwing out the two-paper conventions, China is telling the United States:
Rules are not your home, you can't use it if you want to, you want to lose it.

Economic Impact and Subsequent Impacts - The Costs of War

The spillover effects of this diplomatic crisis will become more and more obvious at the economic level.

1. Trade embargo chainOnce the arms embargo of the EU countries has joined forces, the Israeli military-industrial system will be directly hit.The supply of the battlefield will be under pressure before the domestic military industry is fully independent.
2. Investment risk premium risesInternational financial markets have begun to re-evaluate Israeli state bonds and sovereign credit ratings.
3. Volatility in the energy market: The escalation of the Israel-Qatar conflict may affect the natural gas supply channel in the Eastern Mediterranean, which will immediately be transmitted to the European energy market.

It¡¯s not just a Middle East conflict, it¡¯s a risky event where global capital is re-pricing.

The Resonance of History: The Parallel Curve of the Atonement Day War

In 1973, after the outbreak of the Fourth Middle East War, the West generally supported Israel, and the Arab world joined forces to impose an oil embargo on the West, so that global oil prices quadrupled in just a few months.

Today in 2025, we may not see a repeat of it intact, but a more globalized economic network means that the shock wave of regional conflicts can sweep the world faster- Especially in energy, food and capital markets.

Conclusion ¨C How long will the ¡°island effect¡± last?

This matter is far from over.
Whether Israel's current "island effect" will deepen depends on three variables:

1. The U.S. will continue to protect the country at all costs.
2. European countries' unity at the diplomatic and sanctions level
3. Can Arab and Islamic States Form a Permanent Political Alliance?

For China, this is also an opportunity to get into the heart of the global public opinion as a ¡°regulator.¡± In the highly emotional battlefield of the Israeli conflict, China speaks with conventions and rules, which is itself a release of a strategic signal.-Whoever wants to destroy the bottom line on multilateral occasions must weigh the consequences first.

If the U.S. continued to escort Israel at the United Nations, while most countries around the world stood opposite, how would this diplomatic impasse evolve?

References:

1. UN General Assembly adopts resolution allowing video speech of Palestinian president
2. Full Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, United Nations Treaty Series
3. China's Permanent Representative to the United Nations to Express Position on the Situation in Pakistan, September 19, 2025
4. Israel faces multinational arms embargo and diplomatic isolation
5. Peninsula TV Special Report: The Latest War Conditions and Death Statistics in Gaza