There are signs that as the peace process in Russia and Ukraine is in a standstill, the conflict on the battlefield is becoming more intense, and tensions are escalating.

Although the Russian side said that Russia is willing to negotiate, and contacts between the US and Russia are also ongoing, it also said that there are no conditions for a ceasefire at the moment.

On the 20th, the Russian Defence Ministry also said that the Chief of Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, General Glazimov, inspected the "central" group of Russian troops located in the Donetsk region and said the Russian troops were in the area. "Military operations in all directions remain offensive".

It can be seen that after the negotiations are stuck, increased military offensive will be one of the options for the Russian-Ukrainian ¡°breakdown¡±.

However, as the situation between Russia and Ukraine continues to heat up, There are three important things to be concerned about.

First, the "smell of gunpowder" became increasingly strong, and Poland took the initiative to fire.

On the 19th, the Polish Ministry of Defence said it had held a code-named meeting. ¡°The Steel Defender 25¡±Air defense drill, during which Poland's "Patriot" air defense missile system conducted The first real gunshot., located at a military base near the small town of Ustka in the north of the country, and emphasized that this exercise is a response to the exercises between Russia and Belarus.

It should be noted that since the "drone incident", relations between Poland and Russia and Belarus have continued to escalate. In addition to live ammunition shooting, In response to the Russian-Belarus exercises, Poland also signed an agreement that agreed to NATO troops stationed in its territory.At the same time, the border crossing with Belarus was closed, which once again exacerbated the situation.

This is not over yet. On the 19th, Poland announced, Cooperation agreement on drone operations will be signed with UkraineThe application of Ukrainian experience on the battlefield is crucial for the transformation of the Polish army and even of NATO as a whole.

In this regard, the United States has not yet responded and is in a state of losing its voice.

The implication is that Poland is likely to further intervene in the situation between Russia and Ukraine, and as a member of NATO, Its series of actions are also likely to rely on NATO.

By then, not only will the situation between Russia and Ukraine become more complicated and changeable, but the risk of conflict between Russia and the West will also further increase.

No, at the critical moment, the United States, Britain, France, Germany and other countries have also made moves.

The second thing, Anglo-German troops to Poland, the U.S. announced important arms sales to the Wave, Russia or better?

On the 20th, the French military announced, Three Rafale fighter jets have been deployed to Poland as part of NATO's new operation Eastern Sentinel.

Before that, Britain and Germany also announced that they will be deploying troops to support NATO's "Eastern Guard" operation to strengthen air defense security in Eastern Europe.

In addition, almost at the same time, the Pentagon also announced that the U.S. Department had approved it. An arms sales contract to sell the Javelin missile system to Poland,Worth about $780 million.

Among them, the "target rifle" is a new type of anti-tank missile that realizes fully automated guidance, with the ability to operate day and night and launch independently, with a range of 2,000 meters, and at the same time with anti-helicopter capabilities.

In other words, after the "drone incident" in Poland, the United States, Britain, France, Germany and other countries either chose to send troops or send weapons and equipment. There was a preparation for Poland to put pressure on Russia again.Even if the Russian side has repeatedly denied the drone invasion of Poland, the incident has not been clearly investigated.

In this regard, the Russian Foreign Ministry said on the 20th that the actions of Poland and Europe showed that They have no interest in "finding out the truth",The accusations against Russia surrounding the incident are unfounded and will only escalate the situation.

From this perspective, the ¡°drone incident¡± has not been clearly investigated, and the U.S. West has hastened to send troops. It is not ruled out that the incident was a western ¡°self-directed performance¡± with great similarities to the ¡°washing of clothes¡± in the early Iraq war.

What is certain is that Russia may take other military actions in response to a series of operations by the United States and the West in addition to warnings. By then, the smell of gunpowder between Russia and the West will be stronger.

However, what is fearful is that the ¡°drone incident¡± in Poland has not yet ended, and another new situation has occurred.

The third thing is that Russian military aircraft "broke into" Estonian airspace? Russia made an emergency voice.

On the 20th, several EU officials said, A Russian military aircraft suddenly "invaded" Estonia's airspace on the 19th and accused the act of "extremely dangerous" and unacceptable.

On the same day, NATO said that it had urgently dispatched fighter planes to "intercept" Russian fighter planes entering Estonian airspace.

It must be said that the ¡°drone incident¡± in Poland has not yet been clearly investigated, and now Estonia has a similar situation, which will undoubtedly further push the current situation.

In response, the Russian Defence Ministry said on the day of the incident, the Russian military moved three MiG-31 fighters to Kaliningrad for routine flight missions. However, during the flight, it fully complied with international law and did not violate the borders of other countries, saying that this situation was confirmed by objective monitoring tools.

In other words, the Russian side continues to deny the news of the EU and NATO about "Russian fighter jets breaking into Estonian airspace", as to whether the NATO side will not believe that it will continue to pressure Russia like French artillery and take military action, it is not possible to say at the moment.

But it is not to be forgotten that, starting on September 18, NATO¡¯s code name was: Joint military exercises of Lightning began in Estonia.For two weeks, the United States, Britain, France and other countries sent troops to participate, about 3,000 people, and the exercise was aimed at practicing the rapid delivery of troops.

Obviously, at the time of the incident, NATO exercises in Estonia had already begun, and in such a special context, NATO accusations of ¡°Russian aircraft flying into Estonia¡¯s airspace¡± seemed not to be a mere coincidence, and it did not rule out that the incident became a ¡°guiding spark¡± for NATO¡¯s further pressure on Russia.

There are various signs that under the background that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has not yet subsided, whether it is the "drone incident" in Poland or the military aircraft incident in Estonia, it may be a new round of layout launched by the West to put pressure on Russia. And this is likely to once again deepen the difficulty of ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The mountain rains want to come full of wind.Next, and see how the situation develops.