Iran's Supreme National Security Council announced on Monday that Iran will suspend its cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as Britain, France and Germany forcefully push the UN Security Council to restore sanctions on Iraq.

As the British Federation forced the resumption of sanctions against Iraq, Iran also suspended cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Iranian nuclear issue seems to be in a deadly situation again, how do you see the impact of this matter?

Europe's imposition of swift sanctions is a man-made crisis

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations:The European Union has pushed for a ¡°rapid resumption of sanctions¡± in the UN Security Council.I think the crisis of the Iranian nuclear issue is artificially created.We know that the reason for the launch of the "quick restoration of sanctions" mechanism is that Iran completely failed to implement the Iranian nuclear deal in 2015. However, in fact, during the first term of the Trump administration, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the Iranian nuclear deal in 2018. In 2020, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps general Soleimani was attacked and killed by the United States, and Iran said it would gradually suspend the implementation of some terms of the Iranian nuclear deal.

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations:In this process, Europe was not able to completely replace the role of the United States, but instead helped the United States to put pressure on Iran.Therefore, both morally and logically, Iran is a victim.Now that Europe chooses forced launch without the "rapid resumption of sanctions" mechanism, or postpones the launch, is actually a man-made rise in tensions on Iran's nuclear issue, and is also a response to forcing Iran to suspend cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency.

Israel could use this crisis to push Iran back.

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations:The impact of this situation is very negative. Iran will most likely be sanctioned by the United Nations; Iranian personnel's foreign exchanges may be restricted and assets may be frozen; Iran's scientific and technological research and development, including the import and export of arms, will be subject to stricter restrictions. This adds pressure to Iran itself, making Iran a less stable point in the Middle East. At the regional level, after the Israel-Iraq conflict in June, Israel has been looking for new opportunities to use force against Iran. Now the renewed tension on the Iranian nuclear issue is likely to provide a new excuse for Israel to take action.

Iran's resistance to the moment remains restrained

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations:From a future perspective, although the launch of the "rapid resumption of sanctions" mechanism is inevitable now, there is still a possibility of rescue. Now China and Russia and other stakeholders are in efforts to persuade for negotiations, Russia has also drafted a draft to postpone the launch of the "rapid resumption of sanctions" and has not yet been put to the vote.

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute of China Institute of Contemporary International Relations:We have also noticed that Iran's response to this change in the situation is relatively restrained. According to Iran's previous statement, in this case, it may have to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, which is a very serious reaction; According to the escalation of the Iranian nuclear issue in 2019 and 2020, Iran may engage in some offensive activities in the Persian Gulf, and even attack American targets in Iraq, but now we have no signs of Iran doing so.

The international community must make the last effort to resolve the crisis.

Qin Tian, deputy director of the Institute for Middle East Studies at the China Institute for Modern International Relations:So I think Iran¡¯s restraint also provides time and space for the international community to seize the last time window to fight for the extension of the ¡°rapid resumption of sanctions¡± mechanism, or to fight for a proper solution to the crisis.