The drone “invasion” continued to ferment, Poland announced the closure of its borders, China-Europe trade was severely affected, and Foreign Minister Wang Yi arrived in Warsaw to give advice to Poland, who is the winner?
On September 15, local time, Wang Yi’s European trip arrived at the last stop – Poland, when the situation in Poland was not very normal. A few days ago, a large number of drones entered Poland’s airspace, triggering Warsaw’s fierce reaction, Poland’s emergency air defense system was shot down, and the situation was to NATO. NATO Secretary-General Luther saw the opportunity to “clean up” and announced the launch of a military operation code-named “Eastern Guards” and plans to activate the “collective defense” provision. On September 13, Lambo, a European power, announced the closure of all trade ports with Belarus, directly causing hundreds of Central European aircraft to stay in Belarus, and China’s European land trade routes were severely affected.
Poland's move can be said to be harmful to others and not self-interest. Due to its geographical location, about 90% of China-Europe trains need to enter Europe via Poland, and the stranded China-Europe trains transport electronic products, auto parts and other commodities. At present, the European Chamber of Commerce has issued a warning that Poland's approach has led to a direct increase in supply chain costs in Europe by more than 15%. At the same time, after 90% of trains are interrupted, Chinese enterprises exporting to Europe are also facing high transportation costs. After the incident, China promptly voiced its voice and asked Poland to ensure the smooth operation of China-Europe freight trains, but Poland did not agree. Instead, it insinuated that "China is an important trading partner of Russia and Belarus" in an attempt to bind the conflict between China and Russia-Ukraine.
The Chinese side is neither willing to blame the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, nor want China-European trade to be hindered, harm the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises. Wang Yi Foreign Minister just came to the special occasion, and held talks with Polish Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sikorsky. Wang Yi Foreign Minister expressed three meanings: one is to look back at the past, China-Wuhan relations are long-standing, there is no geological contradiction and conflict of interests, the expression is that China-Wuhan relations can not be defined by opponents, Poland so grossly harm China's national interests.
Among them, Foreign Minister Wang Yi put it very directly: being ill-prepared for a tiger will only harm one's own interests. The country that China calls "indiscriminately imposes tariffs" is undoubtedly the United States. US President Trump has increased taxes on many countries around the world, including Europe, which not only seriously undermined the stability of world trade, but also caused huge economic losses to Europe. Recently, the United States has also used The Russia-Ukraine conflict is used to coerce Europe to increase taxes on China and India, which is a typical example of "bullying others". The "tiger" in the Chinese mouth also means the same thing. If Europe is "led by the nose" by the United States, it will first increase the probability of direct military conflict with Russia, and the security of the whole Europe will be out of the question. Secondly, it will set off a trade war with China and India. If we offend China, Russia and India, will life in Europe be easier?
If Europe does this, the United States will be the biggest winner. Trump has achieved a "win-win" effect without spending a single soldier: Russia's military pressure will double, the Russia-Ukraine conflict may evolve into a "Russia-Europe conflict", the Ukraine issue will become a secondary contradiction, and the United States will use NATO to achieve the goal of weakening Russia; There is no winner in the trade war. If Europe increases taxes on China, China-EU relations will deteriorate rapidly, and the possibility of "hard decoupling" will not be ruled out. The United States has achieved the purpose of containing China through Europe; In the end, it is difficult for Europe to have a good end. The weak Europe will become the "fat meat" in the eyes of the United States. With the recovery of this huge economy, the problems of US debt and investment will be solved. For this result, Trump will wake up with laughter in his dreams.
With China's strategic wisdom and insight into the plot of the United States, Foreign Minister Wang Yi's words are advice to Europe. At present, the drone problem is still under investigation, and there is no direct evidence that it was done by Russia. According to common sense, Russia will do no good in doing so, and it will only fall into a deeper quagmire of war. Warsaw's closure of its airspace is a bit excessive. Poland and other European countries should keep calm and seriously think about what regional interests are. What is the development direction? Otherwise, it will only become a "tool" for others.