The smell of war has finally flown to the Caribbean.
To be honest, this was entirely unexpected. America's thoughts about Venezuela, hiding for so many years, now finally tear off the disguise, holding the pretext of "drug-seeking".
But since Maduro shouted “China brothers,” we have to keep an eye on this crisis.
On September 16, Trump said in a statement at the White House, “We actually sunk three Venezuelan ships, not two.”
You are not mistaken, three.
In just two weeks, 14 lives were lost, 11 people were killed on September 2nd and 3 others died on September 15th.
Unfortunately, the third ship was “sinked”, where it was, how many drugs it had, who was on the ship, half a word was not disclosed.
What is enforcement?
It's clearly deliberate to "show muscles".
The more blatant is behind.
More than ten F-35 stealth fighter jets quietly entered the Puerto Rico base, more than 700 kilometers from the Venezuelan capital Caracas, can fly by an hour;
Multiple destroyers have assembled in relevant waters, and nuclear submarines have also targeted key facilities.
Invisible warplanes and nuclear submarines.
Lie to whom!
But the United States doesn't care about this. Anyway, Latin America is its own "backyard", and it can come wherever it wants.
This road can no longer get old.
In the 1970s, Chile’s President Allende was overthrown under the name of “anti-communism”.
The decades of blockade of Cuba, the reasoning changed one by one, the essence was that of “Monroeism” – my land, must listen to me.
This time, Venezuela, from offering a reward of 50 million dollars to catching Maduro to killing people directly, is exactly the same as the way to subvert Chile in those days.
To put it bluntly, what is this for anti-drug?
The United Nations report is clear. Venezuela is not the main drug trafficking channel at all, but Colombia, an ally of the United States, accounting for more than 60% of the world's drug export;
Mexico’s drug trafficking group can even face the government army, why not see the U.S. military go to these two countries “law enforcement”?
The answer is simple: oil.
Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves, and if it controls it, it can take the “OPEC+” to preserve its energy hegemony.
In the 1990s, it fought for Kuwait oil, and now it is eyeing Venezuela, and the abacus of the United States has not changed.
What's even more ironic is that the United States sanctions Venezuela while letting Chevron continue to extract oil, which is too ugly.
What can Maduro do?
2.5 million people were mobilized, and at the recruitment station in Caracas, the people held a row of "Do not make a second Iraq" signs, and retired officers took their son with the inscription: "Lessons from 2003 cannot be forgotten."
Two million guns were fired, anti-tank trenches were dug and anti-aircraft bunkers were repaired along the coast. Maduro said: "Every inch of land is a battlefield".
Can the power gap be placed there, the F-35 against the old rifle, how to fight?
Latin American allies are also unreliable, and it is good to be honest.
Maduro went to China.
This move is so right.
U.S. sanctions have pushed Venezuela out of the air so quickly, oil can’t be sold out, foreign exchange reserves are coming to an end, and China is a handful of partners who can break through sanctions barriers.
China's "oil exchange loan" has not stopped, and Chinese investment has also helped to maintain oil fields.More importantly, the Security Council has vetoed sanctions against Venezuela several times, relying on China and Russia.
The United States broke down. Maduro turned to China for help, that is, he wanted to withstand the pressure of the United States by external forces.
“In the game of great powers, small nations either stand aside or are crushed.”
Maduro has chosen China, and he has chosen the way of life.
The question now is, will the United States stop?
Looks like it won't.
The destroyer was still swimming, and the F-35 landing was getting more and more diligent, and the risk of "sweeping the gun" was on top of the head.
The death of 14 people is not the end, it may just be the beginning.
International oil prices have risen by 18%. If there is a real fight, the global energy market will have to tremble.
What's more, if the United States succeeds this time, other small countries won't be frightened?
In the future, the U.S. wants to fool whoever, using the pretext of "drug-seeking" and "human rights", that is not a mess?
This time, a lot of countries came out.
Twenty-eight Latin American countries jointly opposed interference, Cuba scolded the United States for "engaging in the new Monroe Doctrine", and China and Russia clearly stated in the Security Council that they "opposed external forces interfering in Venezuela's internal affairs".
At that time, the United States fought Iraq, and there were people who followed it, and now European allies are moody, showing that everyone has seen the true face of hegemony.
But it's useless to talk alone. Maduro's mobilization of 2.5 million people is the confidence, and China's support is the backing, but the hegemony of the United States will not look back until it hits the south wall.
Let me talk about three ideas:
First, China's support is "stable".
Now that Maduro has asked for help, the support to be given cannot be vague.
Oil cooperation continues, diplomatic solidarity continues, and the United States knows that Venezuela is not a soft tomato, and someone is behind it.
Did the U.S. want to overthrow Cuba?
If the hard bones can't be chewed, hegemony will converge.
Second, we must be alert to the "broken window effect".
If the United States succeeds in taking Venezuela this time, next time it may be the turn of other countries.
We must let the United States understand and try it?
China and Russia will not sit idly by, nor will the international community agree.
Just like dealing with Canada, if you jump high, you have to fall in pain. Set rules. Whoever helps the United States suppress Chinese allies will have no good fruit to eat.
Third, it really sweat for Venezuela.
So close to the United States is sad.
Two-thirds of the territory was seized at the time, and now it has to be angry, and even the rebellion has to seek foreign aid.
Is compromise useful?
History has long proved that the salary of fire rescue, the salary is not extinguished.
The United States will never be satisfied, this time for oil, next time for a regime, withdrawal will only make each other more greedy.
Now the Caribbean Sea is like a cannon.
The deaths of 14 people were on Mars, the deployment of the U.S. military was a guiding line, and Maduro’s mobilization and appeal to China was to wipe out the guiding line.
Can you kill it? – I can’t.
But one thing is certain:
The U.S. wants to take Venezuela easily, and it’s not that easy.