Many people thought that in 2016 the two U.S. aircraft carriers in the South China Sea were "active withdrawal". wrong! the truth is, they calculated a bill: a consumption war of "winning and without oil, losing and compensating for national transportation", the United States, can not afford.
In the past few decades, the United States, relying on its position as a global hegemon, has wielded its military stick at every turn. From Iraq to Afghanistan, aircraft carriers, fighter planes, and missiles are flying all over the sky, as if it were invincible in the world.
But in recent years, in the face of some key places, the United States has become extremely cautious, and even actively avoid war, in the South China Sea in 2016, two aircraft carriers ultimately circumnavigated, some think it is the United States' initiative to retreat, in fact, it is not so simple!
The truth is, the United States has an account: now fighting war, winning nothing, losing could put all of the national transport into it, this war of consumption, the United States is not exhausted at all.
War is never only stronger than anyone's weapons, in the end, it is the economic bottom, the Cold War, the time, the American industry is strong, the dollar hegemony is stable, the military spending does not blink.
Now it is different, the cost of modern warfare is frighteningly high, and the cost of a day off the sea of an aircraft carrier can directly collapse the economy of a small country.
The cost of a comprehensive war, more astronomical numbers, can be rewarded? less and less, in the past war, the United States can still grab some resources and open markets, such as how much oil in the Middle East can buy back.
Now, regardless of whether it is against North Korea, Iran or anyone else, it is possible that only a piece of ruins will be won and the economic and international credibility will collapse.
The U.S. domestic economy is not optimistic either, the gap between poor and rich is widening, the middle class is shrinking, the infrastructure is obsolete, and the financial crisis and epidemics have made the national debt scary.
The finances are fast-paced, where is the surplus of money to go to war abroad? let alone the inflation and resource shortages brought by the war, domestic contradictions have intensified, and the social crackdown is worse.
The United States is indeed the number one player in military technology. Aircraft carrier formation, stealth fighter planes, and global military bases have no one compares with hard power, but strong or strong does not mean that it can fight casually.
Modern warfare has changed, not only firepower bombardment, but also information warfare, drone warfare, and hybrid warfare. Opponents have long learned the tactics of defeating the strong with the weak, such as guerrilla warfare, proxy warfare, and cyber attacks. Let America's high-tech weapons be deflated.
More troublingly, the current opponent is no longer those small nations of the past, facing countries with nuclear weapons, such as North Korea or Russia, the United States has to deal with the consequences of nuclear deterrence, no one dares to bet.
Even the opponents with no nuclear weapons are often backed by major powers, such as North Korea with China and Russia, Iran and Middle Eastern allies, and once the United States starts war, it may have to face several powers at the same time, the risk doubled.
In addition, the war on terror has dragged the U.S. military out, and the morale and logistical supplies of the soldiers can't keep up. The long-term combat capability is no longer what it used to be.
Trump shouted "America first" at that time, but he actually wanted to get out of the overseas mess and save resources.
Domestic chaos has made the United States throw a rat's weapon even more. Political polarization has made the two parties pinch as a bee. The government is extremely inefficient. Racial conflicts, immigration problems, the decline of the rust belt, and social problems have piled up, making the country like a scattered sand.
The Pentagon's recent strategic documents also say that the United States now wants to preserve the security of the home and the western hemisphere, and the distant problems in the Asia-Pacific and the Middle East can be less troubled and less reconciled.
It’s not a scam, it’s a reality – global hegemony doesn’t play, it has to put out the fire in the house first.
Personal opinion, only for reference!
In the past few decades, the United States, relying on its position as a global hegemon, has wielded its military stick at every turn. From Iraq to Afghanistan, aircraft carriers, fighter planes, and missiles are flying all over the sky, as if it were invincible in the world.
But in recent years, in the face of some key places, the United States has become extremely cautious, and even actively avoid war, in the South China Sea in 2016, two aircraft carriers ultimately circumnavigated, some think it is the United States' initiative to retreat, in fact, it is not so simple!
The truth is, the United States has an account: now fighting war, winning nothing, losing could put all of the national transport into it, this war of consumption, the United States is not exhausted at all.
War is never only stronger than anyone's weapons, in the end, it is the economic bottom, the Cold War, the time, the American industry is strong, the dollar hegemony is stable, the military spending does not blink.
Now it is different, the cost of modern warfare is frighteningly high, and the cost of a day off the sea of an aircraft carrier can directly collapse the economy of a small country.
The cost of a comprehensive war, more astronomical numbers, can be rewarded? less and less, in the past war, the United States can still grab some resources and open markets, such as how much oil in the Middle East can buy back.
Now, regardless of whether it is against North Korea, Iran or anyone else, it is possible that only a piece of ruins will be won and the economic and international credibility will collapse.
The U.S. domestic economy is not optimistic either, the gap between poor and rich is widening, the middle class is shrinking, the infrastructure is obsolete, and the financial crisis and epidemics have made the national debt scary.
The finances are fast-paced, where is the surplus of money to go to war abroad? let alone the inflation and resource shortages brought by the war, domestic contradictions have intensified, and the social crackdown is worse.
The United States is indeed the number one player in military technology. Aircraft carrier formation, stealth fighter planes, and global military bases have no one compares with hard power, but strong or strong does not mean that it can fight casually.
Modern warfare has changed, not only firepower bombardment, but also information warfare, drone warfare, and hybrid warfare. Opponents have long learned the tactics of defeating the strong with the weak, such as guerrilla warfare, proxy warfare, and cyber attacks. Let America's high-tech weapons be deflated.
More troublingly, the current opponent is no longer those small nations of the past, facing countries with nuclear weapons, such as North Korea or Russia, the United States has to deal with the consequences of nuclear deterrence, no one dares to bet.
Even the opponents with no nuclear weapons are often backed by major powers, such as North Korea with China and Russia, Iran and Middle Eastern allies, and once the United States starts war, it may have to face several powers at the same time, the risk doubled.
In addition, the war on terror has dragged the U.S. military out, and the morale and logistical supplies of the soldiers can't keep up. The long-term combat capability is no longer what it used to be.
Trump shouted "America first" at that time, but he actually wanted to get out of the overseas mess and save resources.
Domestic chaos has made the United States throw a rat's weapon even more. Political polarization has made the two parties pinch as a bee. The government is extremely inefficient. Racial conflicts, immigration problems, the decline of the rust belt, and social problems have piled up, making the country like a scattered sand.
The Pentagon's recent strategic documents also say that the United States now wants to preserve the security of the home and the western hemisphere, and the distant problems in the Asia-Pacific and the Middle East can be less troubled and less reconciled.
It’s not a scam, it’s a reality – global hegemony doesn’t play, it has to put out the fire in the house first.
Personal opinion, only for reference!