Don't say anything quiet, these days China's road to the outside, is really a bit unfair. on the land railway that just stopped the car, the sea port on this side of the wave.
The energy line is stunned, the key channel is blocked, like an invisible hand, on the "doors" to China in silence. say the coincidence is too strong, say the conflict has not reached that point, but how through a piece of "you are not too good" smell.
This is not a question of which country a word, one action, but a number of points linked into a line, selecting the key nodes of our foreign trade. Someone does not want you to develop, but want you to go slowly, accumulate points, and it is best to turn a few curves.
This time to fantasize "everyone speaks the rules", it is a little naive. Reality has knocked the alarm clock: relying on cooperation is not enough, a little "hard bottom" in the critical time to stand up.
On the ground, there is little movement, little killing.
Poland suddenly closed the gateway to Belarus, saying it was because of "security concerns". This word is familiar, but what is done is quite real: the Central European banks can not move at once.
This railway is the main line that connects Eurasia, the cargo runs on it, and the heart relies on it.
Everyone can see that this is not a question of any country whispering some emotion. Poland dares to do so, and behind it is not his own head shaking. So accurately strangle the traffic arteries, how many points pass through the smell of "conspiracy".
Looking eastward, the Russian Far East was suddenly attacked by drones.The Ukrainian movement was originally concentrated on the western line, and suddenly appeared on that side, which seems unnatural.
At the same time, Russia is still the hub for China's energy supply, where the pipeline goes, where the impact is.
Looking at these things together, this line on the land is no longer a simple logistics issue, but is considered a battlefield for the game.
On the other side of the sea, not much talk, but hands do not stop.
It’s important to know where the Panama Canal is right now, it’s not a big place, but it’s stuck in the throat of global trade. Recently, news about it has been a bit wrong.
Chinese enterprises originally operated well there, and suddenly there was a contract review, and there are new projects behind them to go on the horse.
Not only Panama, but also many Chinese-funded port projects from Asia-Pacific to Mediterranean have begun to be "re-evaluated". In name, it is a commercial operation, but in fact, everyone knows that port control is no longer just a business.
Whoever holds the port in his hand can decide at the crucial moment that the goods cannot go and the boat cannot rely on.
And this movement is quite unified, as if someone synchronized the switch on a global scale. Without explaining the matter, it is this rhythm alone, people have to think a few points.
This line on the sea, more complicated than on the land. once controlled by important nodes, even if you have a ship, goods, orders, also have to look at people and so on.
You can't keep your way by relying on business, it's time to change your way of playing
In the past, we have always said that economic cooperation leads to mutual trust in security. Yes, logic is also reasonable. But in the past few years, the reality tells us that the opponents don’t want to talk about this logic anymore.
If you transport goods by rail, he will move the border port; If you use the pipeline to attract energy, he will blow up your partner; If you rely on the port to travel around the world, he will take your shares and cut off your path.
This series of operations, saying that it is "coincidence" is too absurd, to say that it is "co-operation" seems more simple. It is obvious that others have begun to look at every step we go out with a "security perspective".
China is not unable to cope, the problem is that in the past, too much of the rule, so that others feel that you can "do irregular things with the flag of the rule".
Now it is necessary to change the perspective, not to confront whom, nor to engage in a policy of force, but to let people know: this road, not you want to block, can be blocked.
For example, the passage is like the doorway of the home door, in the past depended on neighboring relations, now have to put on cameras, put on security, set up patrol.
The military exists not to fight, but not to fight.
In the final analysis, military strength is not to show muscles, nor to win anyone. It is to tell others: I will guard this road, so don't act rashly. It's like there's a light in front of your house, and no one dares sneak near it at night.
China’s years of escorting in the Gulf of Aden, withdrawing foreigners abroad, and stabilizing caregivers at critical times have long proved this.
The current situation cannot be settled entirely by diplomacy. Whether it's Malacca, Hormuz, the Indian Ocean or the South Pacific Ocean, wherever our goods go a lot and our ships dock frequently, we have to have a sense of existence.
With the navy turning around there, the atmosphere is different.Some people want to do it, maybe think for more than two seconds.
As for the land route, it's not impossible. You can talk more about practical things with countries along the route, such as security cooperation, joint patrols and interest binding. Don't let those countries that can close their doors with a few words of "security concerns" start easily.
Let them know that taking this path will not only affect us, but will also hurt them.
Only with strength can you have the confidence to go out
In recent years, China has made bigger and bigger steps in going global, but it is also easier and easier to step on "landmines". A quiet blockade is more difficult to prevent than an openly fighting. The opponent didn't say you were not welcome, but he set limits everywhere in his actions. The further you go, the more people stand in your way.
These days are accompanied by a few things, although looking little, but the direction points to one meaning: don't go too fast, don't go too smoothly.
By negotiating you can fight for space, but by strength you can keep space. not to engage in confrontation, but to let others know, your lifeline is not who wants to strike you can strike. this world is not a place where reason can win, sometimes, you have to rely on people not dare to touch you a sweat.
Therefore, if China wants to go steadily and far, goodwill alone is not enough, but also has some awe-inspiring strength. You can't expect others to protect your lifeblood. You have to rely on yourself to protect it.
It is not for anything else, it is for us to be able to do business safely and spend the day smoothly and steadily.This year, peace is not said, it is kept out.
Source of information:
Poland closure and Belarus port incident (Central European shipments blocked) -- Xinhua news agency reports, CGTN "Central European shipments delays and multinational freight chains"
Russian TASS and Ukrainian "Kyiv Post" that Ukrainian drones attacked Russian targets in the Far East
Financial Times (FT) in-depth investigation: U.S. pressures Pakistan to re-evaluate Chinese port operating rights