Poland’s “backbone” is a warning bell, which, at the cost of hundreds of trains, tells us the simplest truth that any single “economic lifeline”, no matter how efficient it looks, can eventually become the “hostage” in the hands of others.
A strange picture was fixed on the Polish border. The metal debris of drones was scattered in the fields. This was September 9 when a large number of drones invaded Polish airspace. The Polish military urgently disposed of and shot down some drones.
There are more than 300 rows of trains filled with Chinese goods, which lie still on the railroad along the border, as if time had stopped, which is not a common traffic jamming.
This is the shock wave of geopolitics, which is impartial to the "acupuncture point" of global trade: "Malasevich", a small place that is inconspicuous on weekdays, has become the "key" this time.
Poland is not momentaneously impulsive, they accuse the drone of being a Russian "mass provocation", while neighbouring Russia and Belarus are preparing a massive military exercise, code-named "West 2025", and even high-speed hypersonic missiles.
In Belarus, a "Hazel" missile base with a range of 5,500 kilometers is also under construction. With the shadow of the outbreak of war after similar military exercises in 2021, Poland chose not to wait and see this time.
At 0:00 on September 12, all road and railway ports leading to Belarus were closed. The official reason was only four words: "national security". In the face of the threat of guns, business must give way.
How important is this hub, the economic artery that connects the Asia-European continent, whose commercial functions have been instantly “suspended” and turned to activate its primitive function as a physical barrier, the economic hub that has turned back to the geographic front overnight?
Nearly 90 percent of Central European routes are passing from here, its railway network connects 223 cities in 25 European countries, here a globe has to follow "cough", a long shutdown, meaning about 30,000 containers must not move.
LONGi Green Energy's photovoltaic products cannot be delivered, so it can only pay US $3.8 million in liquidated damages. For companies such as Sany Heavy Industry and TCL, the port detention fee alone costs tens of millions of yuan a month. Huawei, DJI and other companies The goods worth US $1.7 billion were just "deducted".
This pressure was quickly transmitted to the hinterland of Europe. An auto parts factory in Germany, 90% of its Asian supply depends on trains, and now the production line can only be suspended.
French supermarkets are also starting to worry that the red wine shelves in the Christmas season may be empty, after all, the general inventory of European retailers can only reach two or three weeks, this face we have actually seen.
In 2021, the Suez Canal was blocked for six days, the global trade lost more than 10 billion per week, and Chile's cars floated more than 28 days in the sea, resulting in the $1.2 billion worth of fruits directly ruined, the vulnerability of a single node can always cause a systemic catastrophe.
After the severe pain, Malasevich chose to tell everyone with the stopped train and the sky-high cost that the days of pursuing efficiency only should be over. Everyone began to desperately look for a "spare tire", only to find that the "spare tire" didn't work at all.
That so-called "middle corridor" sounds good, but the cost of transportation is 30 percent higher than the Polish route, the capacity even 40% of the demand cannot be met, the average age of ferries on the Caspian Sea is 25 years, the row will have to wait for 3 to 10 days, as for maritime?
Time and cost must be doubled, long water can not resolve the thirst, this crisis is completely awakened, and the "superstition" of a single channel, putting all the eggs in a basket, is equivalent to handing the switch to others.
China's reaction was quick, and Foreign Minister Wang Yi made it clear in Warsaw on September 16 that China's rankings should be clear, China should not be involved in geopolitics, and more importantly, practical action.
Wuhan, Chongqing, these hub cities, hurry to organize enterprises to link new routes, also provide government subsidies, the national railway group has also begun to accelerate the expansion and transformation of the western passage, all are "dead sheep repair", and actively build a more-dollar logistics network, strive to avoid the next time to encounter such a situation.
A strange picture was fixed on the Polish border. The metal debris of drones was scattered in the fields. This was September 9 when a large number of drones invaded Polish airspace. The Polish military urgently disposed of and shot down some drones.
There are more than 300 rows of trains filled with Chinese goods, which lie still on the railroad along the border, as if time had stopped, which is not a common traffic jamming.
This is the shock wave of geopolitics, which is impartial to the "acupuncture point" of global trade: "Malasevich", a small place that is inconspicuous on weekdays, has become the "key" this time.
Poland is not momentaneously impulsive, they accuse the drone of being a Russian "mass provocation", while neighbouring Russia and Belarus are preparing a massive military exercise, code-named "West 2025", and even high-speed hypersonic missiles.
In Belarus, a "Hazel" missile base with a range of 5,500 kilometers is also under construction. With the shadow of the outbreak of war after similar military exercises in 2021, Poland chose not to wait and see this time.
At 0:00 on September 12, all road and railway ports leading to Belarus were closed. The official reason was only four words: "national security". In the face of the threat of guns, business must give way.
How important is this hub, the economic artery that connects the Asia-European continent, whose commercial functions have been instantly “suspended” and turned to activate its primitive function as a physical barrier, the economic hub that has turned back to the geographic front overnight?
Nearly 90 percent of Central European routes are passing from here, its railway network connects 223 cities in 25 European countries, here a globe has to follow "cough", a long shutdown, meaning about 30,000 containers must not move.
LONGi Green Energy's photovoltaic products cannot be delivered, so it can only pay US $3.8 million in liquidated damages. For companies such as Sany Heavy Industry and TCL, the port detention fee alone costs tens of millions of yuan a month. Huawei, DJI and other companies The goods worth US $1.7 billion were just "deducted".
This pressure was quickly transmitted to the hinterland of Europe. An auto parts factory in Germany, 90% of its Asian supply depends on trains, and now the production line can only be suspended.
French supermarkets are also starting to worry that the red wine shelves in the Christmas season may be empty, after all, the general inventory of European retailers can only reach two or three weeks, this face we have actually seen.
In 2021, the Suez Canal was blocked for six days, the global trade lost more than 10 billion per week, and Chile's cars floated more than 28 days in the sea, resulting in the $1.2 billion worth of fruits directly ruined, the vulnerability of a single node can always cause a systemic catastrophe.
After the severe pain, Malasevich chose to tell everyone with the stopped train and the sky-high cost that the days of pursuing efficiency only should be over. Everyone began to desperately look for a "spare tire", only to find that the "spare tire" didn't work at all.
That so-called "middle corridor" sounds good, but the cost of transportation is 30 percent higher than the Polish route, the capacity even 40% of the demand cannot be met, the average age of ferries on the Caspian Sea is 25 years, the row will have to wait for 3 to 10 days, as for maritime?
Time and cost must be doubled, long water can not resolve the thirst, this crisis is completely awakened, and the "superstition" of a single channel, putting all the eggs in a basket, is equivalent to handing the switch to others.
China's reaction was quick, and Foreign Minister Wang Yi made it clear in Warsaw on September 16 that China's rankings should be clear, China should not be involved in geopolitics, and more importantly, practical action.
Wuhan, Chongqing, these hub cities, hurry to organize enterprises to link new routes, also provide government subsidies, the national railway group has also begun to accelerate the expansion and transformation of the western passage, all are "dead sheep repair", and actively build a more-dollar logistics network, strive to avoid the next time to encounter such a situation.