The Philippines has been defeated in Rhineland Reef and Yellow Rock Island, and has sought weapons from Ukraine, and China needs to raise alertness in the South China Sea to prevent unprecedented.
According to the Belgian website, the Philippines and Ukraine are conducting in-depth negotiations on defence cooperation agreements, including the transfer and co-production of U.S. combat-tested drones, the Navy’s suicide drones.
The agreement is expected to be finalized before the end of 2025 and aims to help the Philippines improve its asymmetric combat capabilities.
This is closely related to the recent setbacks of the Philippines in hotspots in the South China Sea.
The Philippines has publicly rejected China’s declaration of the island as a “natural reserve” and has begun attempts to violate the territorial waters of the island.
On September 16, 2025, the Philippine official vessels deliberately hit Chinese vessels, and the Chinese Coast Guard used water cannons to evacuate Philippine vessels, resulting in the Philippine crew injured, and the facilities on board were damaged.
On Second Thomas Reef, Philippine supply ships were repeatedly blocked by Chinese coast guards or attacked by water cannons, resulting in setbacks in supply operations. These incidents have exacerbated Manila's strategic anxiety.
After two defeats in a row, the Philippines is also able to seek foreign aid, but finding Ukraine is probably a bit intentional to give China an eye medication.
The Philippine navy is far less powerful than China, and traditional vessels have been repeatedly defeated in the South China Sea confrontation, such as the collision of Yellowstone Island, where Philippine vessels were "belonged".
The main Ukrainian unmanned boat, capable of carrying explosives for independent attack, can simulate the appearance of civilian fishing vessels, is hidden, and is easy to deploy in shallow waters or near island reefs, for "feeding" Chinese patrol vessels or supply lines.
This draws on Ukraine’s Black Sea tactics against the Russian Black Sea Fleet’s “bee group,” aimed at filling the conventional force gap in a “low-end high-injury” way, avoiding the hard front.
The Philippines may have the impetus of the United States behind such measures.
The Philippines is accelerating its military modernization, with the goal of building a "drone swarm" capability by 2030 to counter China's possible "drone swarm" advantage.
Cooperation with Ukraine is not only about technology introduction, but also about joint production, which may be extended to missile and rocket technology, thereby transforming local shipyards into defense industry bases.
This echoes the "Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement" between the United States and the Philippines. The Philippines may be regarded as a "battlefield laboratory" by the United States in the future, and Ukraine's battlefield experience may be partially moved to the confrontation site in the South China Sea.
For China, we don't have to worry strategically, but we should make adjustments tactically.
First of all, we want to warn Ukraine that you must abide by the UN weapons embargo and restrict the export of sensitive technology.
Secondly, we can refer this matter to ASEAN, to know that the most disgusting of ASEAN countries is the U.S. tendency to lead the situation in the South China Sea region to "Ukraine crisis".
China has strengthened its normalized patrol in the South China Sea, deploying more anti-drone systems, such as laser weapons or electronic interference devices.
Develop "smart interception" tactics against suicide drones to ensure "factual control" on Yellowstone Island and Yellowstone Reef.
At the same time, domestic drone research and development will be accelerated, and technological countermeasures will be formed, forming a balance between drones and drones.