Recently, there has been a lot of international excitement, Ukraine and the Philippines have said that in October to sign a military cooperation, intend to do drones, drones together, but also specifically to transfer the experience of fighting in the Black Sea to the South China Sea to use.

Ukraine now has been fighting with Russia for a long time, the house is soon without money, and also want to have a sense of presence more internationally, right in hand with the "cheap unmanned tactics" used in the Black Sea, like their small drone, more than $ 200,000 one, also really sinked the Russian warships, think this technology can sell money, can support the scene.

But this matter has hidden a lot of trouble from the beginning. First of all, the Black Sea is a fenced inland sea, and the mode of fighting is simple; The South China Sea is different. It is open and full of islands and reefs. The maritime situation is complicated, and China has long set up a tight encirclement. Satellites, drones, and radars are all watching. The Ukrainian unmanned boat may be able to secretly do something in the Black Sea. It may have been discovered as soon as it sailed out in the South China Sea. Secondly, Ukraine's own military production is about to collapse. If it wants to transfer technology to the Philippines, it is very troublesome to keep it confidential and meet standards; The Philippines can't learn this technology itself. Maybe when the money will be cut off, the project will be yellow. The most dangerous thing is that Ukraine wants to use the South China Sea to contain China, but doing so will ruin its relations with China; If the Philippines relies too much on other people's technology, it will eventually become a pawn in others' hands, and it doesn't matter what it says.

In the face of this situation, the southern war zone of China directly expressed the situation: "The introduction of external forces support is useless, our troops have been vigilant."This is clearly said, this is not a simple arms purchase and sale, it is to challenge in the South China Sea, and the bottom line of China is here, dare to cross the line will have a response. China also has a way: on the one hand, to Hangzhou islands hanged "national level natural protection zone" card, the surface is to engage in ecological protection, but also to use the rules to handle this sea area, not directly conflict with people, but to do things right; on the other hand, there are satellites, drones, unmanned boats watched, the law depends on the "Declaration of the behavior of the South China Sea" rules,

Interestingly, even the United States does not dare to be too casual in the South China Sea. It is said that at that time, although Trump had a fierce quarrel with China in trade and science and technology, he was particularly careful in the South China Sea, because he knew that the South China Sea was China's core interest, and if he didn't do it well, he would make a big mistake. However, Ukraine and the Philippines did not consider these and insisted on forcibly moving the experience of the Black Sea to the South China Sea, which not only overestimated the usefulness of their own technology, but also underestimated China's determination to respond. In the short term, it may be lively on the news for a few days; In the long run, their technology transfer and equipment production will be stared at, and it will be particularly difficult to advance them. Maybe China will come up with harder countermeasures, such as sending more ships and machines to patrol, or cooperating more closely with neighboring countries.

In fact, the stability of the South China Sea depends not on how fast the unmanned boat runs, but on whether there are rules and whether they can obey them well. China has always said that "it doesn't take the initiative to cause trouble, but it's not afraid of things". In the final analysis, it wants to change the South China Sea from a "place where we quarrel and fight" to a "place where everyone manages it together", such as Huangyan Island, which is managed by ecological protection and law enforcement; Let the marine police and the navy cooperate well, cooperate more with neighboring countries, and implement the rules in place; What's more, let everyone understand that they have to abide by the rules and don't rely on outsiders' skills to mess around here.

The cooperation between Ukraine and the Philippines looks smart, but it is actually too short-sighted. The Philippines has to figure out that relying on the technology of outsiders to support the scene may be bolder in the short term, but its initiative will be gone in the long run; Ukraine should also know that using the South China Sea as a bargaining chip will not only solve its war problem with Russia, but will also ruin its reputation. After all, the future of the South China Sea depends on everyone's rules and cooperation, instead of letting outsiders come here to disrupt the situation as a "testing ground".

After all, in the face of its core interests, any small calculator is more than just the strength of the great power. China laid down the bottom line, not to challenge, but to protect peace; the South China Sea to be stable, and must beined by the surrounding countries together, not by foreigners incitement fire. When some countries are still short-term small cheap, China has long demonstrated by action: real stability, clear borders, can keep the rules, and sincerely want peace, this is the fundamental way to make the South China Sea stable.