Source: The Bowl
At a special moment, two special nations signed a very special agreement.
Without a doubt, this is a historic event that may even affect beyond the whole of the Middle East.
The whole world has seen that on September 17th, in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan formally signed a mutual defense agreement. The core article is that an attack on one country will be regarded as "aggression against two countries".
What does that mean?
After that, whoever attacks Saudi Arabia is attacking Pakistan; whoever attacks Pakistan is attacking Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Prince Salman and Pakistani Prime Minister Shabaz personally signed the agreement, then embraced with enthusiasm. Army Chief of Staff Marshal Munir also attended the signing ceremony.
The turning point in history often begins with a seemingly accidental handshake, but ends with a flood of geopolitical restructuring.
Saudi Arabia attaches great importance to this visit.
Videos and pictures show that after Shahbaz's special plane entered Saudi airspace, Saudi Arabia dispatched four fighter planes to escort it.
This is a special moment because the alliance between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan has two major historical backgrounds.
The first big background, as we all know, is that Israel raided Qatar not long ago.
In the Gulf countries, Qatarins very good relations with Israel, in fact, Israel and Hamas negotiate, and the mediator is Qatar.
But Israel did so, and a long-range airstrike recently killed several Hamas leaders and Qatari officials.
What is a knife behind?
Not to forget, Qatar also has the largest U.S. air base in the Middle East, and the United States is listening to it; Qatar has advanced U.S. weapons, but the Qatari military knows nothing about it.
This bombing alerted Qatar and Saudi Arabia even more.
No matter how good the relationship with the United States is, can it be better than that of the United States and Israel?
Although Saudi Arabia also has U.S. military bases, Saudi Arabia also has advanced U.S. weapons, but if the U.S. also sends water?
When it comes to its own security, Saudi Arabia must be careful.
I saw that an analysis article in Reuters said that after the Qatar incident, the Gulf Arab countries were "increasingly wary of the reliability of the United States as its long-term security guarantor".
The United States is gradually losing credibility.
Once there is a crack in trust, it will be like a sand tower collapsing, and it will be difficult to recover.
Saudi Arabia must find other forces to rely on.
Relations with Iran have improved, but Iran, after all, is dead-to-head and naturally unreliable; Turkey is a NATO country, Erdogan is ambitious and not a good partner; Pakistan, as an Islamic state, is naturally the best option.
This also involves the second major background, the war in India.
In May this year, a fierce conflict broke out between Pakistan and India. Both sides dispatched artillery, planes and missiles. This was also the most serious conflict between India and Pakistan in decades.
The final result?
Both sides naturally declared victory.
But we all know that the world’s biggest hit is 5-0.
Pakistan claims to have successfully shot down five Indian fighters using Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets and missiles, including several French advanced Armor fighters.
Pakistan has evidence of Indian aircraft remains. Colonel Munir was promoted to marshal.
A few months later, India also claimed to have shot down five Pakistani fighter jets.
India has to bear it, too. The operation of "public performance only a few months after the war" is a bit like thinking about how to write the answers after the exam.The international community does not believe it.
This battle illustrates Pakistan's military strength.
There is no doubt that in today’s Islamic world, Pakistan has the strongest military operational capabilities.
In terms of conventional weapons, Pakistan is not inferior to Turkey; and, moreover, Pakistan also has nuclear weapons, the only country in the Islamic world that has nuclear weapons.
I saw that the Reuters report specifically mentioned one detail. When askedPakistan has an obligationWhen providing Saudi Arabia with a nuclear umbrella under the agreement, a senior Saudi official replied: “This is a comprehensive defense agreement that covers all military means.”
Everything, without saying anything.
The meaning of deterrence is sometimes silent silence.
Of course, China's role has to be mentioned here.
After all, the whole world knows that Pakistan's most advanced weapons come from China, and China and Pakistan have jointly developed some advanced weapons.
Not long ago, Pakistani President Zardari visited China, and he also made a special visit to Chengdu Aircraft Corporation, took a photo with the J-10 fighter plane and gave a thumbs up.
So, not to rule out an interesting phenomenon that emerged after Pakistan used Chinese weapons to defend Saudi Arabia.
I see that a Pakistani observer should be analyzing this as follows: for Saudi Arabia, this means having reliable, proven protection beyond the American shield of withdrawal; for Pakistan, it means having a solid pillar in the Gulf region that can safeguard our energy security, strengthen our diplomacy, and strengthen our deterrence against regional adventure.
After all, Pakistan is a poor country and needs the aid and support of Saudi Arabia; Saudi Arabia needs Pakistan's military protection, especially a nuclear umbrella.
One shot is matched.
But obviously, this influence will pass through the Middle East.
Finally, let's make three superficial points.
First, this has nothing to do with China.
In my personal view, this has little to do with China, and of course, it is not a bad thing for China.
After all, China has good relations with Gulf Arab countries such as Saudi Arabia and Qatar; In fact, China has played a key role in promoting the easing of relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Even with Israel, China-Israel relations are actually possible, and there is a lot of cooperation between them.
Of course, it is impossible for China not to criticize Israel, not to remain indifferent to its inhuman acts, not to condemn the abuse of innocent acts of war.
Not to mention Pakistan, the unique Pakistan Railway.
It is still interesting to think about the future of the Middle East, protecting Saudi Arabia with Chinese weapons.
On the chessboard of international relations, the real wisdom is not in pushing the chess, but in paving the way for others, but also expanding your own pattern.
Second, India must be angry.
Pakistan and India are old culprits.In the past, between India and Pakistan, Saudi Arabia hasined a delicate diplomatic balance.
In fact, just a month before the India-Pakistan conflict, Indian Prime Minister Modi was still visiting Saudi Arabia. Before the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out, Saudi Arabia was an important source of Indian oil.
But now Saudi Arabia and Pakistan are getting closer and closer, signing a joint defense clause, clarifying that an attack on Pakistan is also an attack on Saudi Arabia.
India would be very disappointed.
Of course, Saudi Arabia will try its best to appease India.
I have seen high-ranking Saudi officials say that the agreement with Pakistan “is the culmination of many years of discussion, not a response to a specific country or event, but the institutionalization of long-term and deep cooperation between our two countries.”
India, don’t worry too much, accept the reality.
Once the geographical balance is tilted, it takes time and patience to swing back.
Third, it shook the entire Middle East pattern.
Saudi Arabia is the leader of the Gulf, and after Saudi Arabia, more Gulf nations have signed with Pakistan.
After all, looking around the world, Pakistan is a natural ally of the Gulf nations, with strong real combat capabilities and the only nuclear weapons.
I’ve seen one overseas netizen say more straightforwardly: for the United States and Israel: the agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, “The era of clearly declaring that control of regional security is over ... The new alliance is shaping a different deterrent equation.”
Of course, others think more beautifully.
I see, it should be Pakistani netizens, and think so: It is a very clever move, Pakistan does not have to spend a lot of money to buy expensive military equipment, to become a powerful army, because Saudi Arabia already has the latest and best equipment, all they have to do is provide a nuclear umbrella to Saudi Arabia.
Is it so simple?
I saw that someone immediately reminded him that if these weapons were locked by the manufacturer, it would be useless.
It should also mean something.
Saudi Arabia, do you need to add some other weapons?