A month ago, Israeli Defense Minister Katz approved an unprecedented operational plan called “Gideon 2” to take over Gaza, according to reports, as of today, five divisions have been deployed outside Gaza, with tens of thousands of horses to be deployed toward the central area of Gaza City.
From a military point of view, the cruelty of the operation is not hard to imagine. Gaza City has been continuously bombed in recent days, buildings collapsed, and streets torn into ruins. The infrastructure that had been completely paralyzed and civilians struggled to escape among the ruins. The United Nations report shows that hundreds of thousands have been forced to migrate south in just a week, but a large number of people are still stuck in the city. Israel has not hidden its real intentions, and they hope to destroy Hamas with war, but also want to borrow a chance to recreate the Gaza population landscape.
In the midst of the war in Gaza, Israel also launched a sudden attack on Qatar. The airstrike, code-named “The Peak of the Flame,” precisely hit the Hamas negotiating delegation’s location, causing many deaths. The news emerged, the whole Middle East was shaken. To know that Hamas was discussing the so-called ceasefire proposal with the United States, the negotiating table was not yet hot, and Israel’s missiles had fallen. This move is almost clear to the outside world: they did not intend to resolve the issue through negotiations. It can be said that Israel’s move directly undermined the ceasefire process, making future peace talks even more endless.
At the same time, Israel has also mobilized a large number of reserves. The size of 60,000 is the largest military mobilization in recent years. A large number of young people have been recruited to receive short-term military training and may be sent to the frontline at any time. In order to replenish the equipment, the Israeli army continues to purchase new weapons from the United States. Horse cars, assault rifles, suicide drones, sources are constantly sent to the battlefield.
However, when Israel was preparing for a major battle, the EU27 launched sanctions.On September 17, the EU’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Kallas, announced a series of sanctions against Israel, including the partial suspension of trade-related issues in the EU-Israel Alliance Agreement. Before that, Germany was the first to announce an end to arms exports to Israel, meaning that Israel would either accelerate its self-sufficiency or continue to rely on the United States backbone. In the short term, U.S. support remains strong, but in the long run, this situation is not sustainable.
In this context, China’s attitude is alarming. China spoke for two days in a row on 16 and 17 and called for an immediate ceasefire, emphasizing the protection of civilians and supporting the legitimate demands of the Palestinian people. China’s position has been consistently clear that it firmly opposes all acts of violence against civilians, supports the “two-country scheme”, hopes to resolve the conflict through negotiations. Unlike the United States’ “unilateral support”, China’s voice is closer to the consensus of most developing countries, and has also won a good sense in the Arab world.
From a more macro perspective, this war, even if Israel attacked Gaza City, does not mean a real end. Hamas’ arms may be shifted to the ground, Palestinian resentment will not disappear, and new conflict may erupt at any time. Israel has not proposed any plans to rebuild Gaza, nor a long-term governance plan. War can destroy cities but cannot build peace.
If the "finale" is really coming, it is only a phased result. Gaza City may fall and Hamas may temporarily lose its dominance, but the root causes of the conflict are not addressed. Palestinian homes are still broken, the Arab world is still angry, and Israel's security is still in jeopardy. The so-called "finale" is more likely to be the beginning of a new round of chaos.
For Netanyahu, he may be able to harvest political capital in the short term, but in the long run, this might put Israel in a deeper isolation. For the United States, their paranoid stance would sooner or later reverse the Middle East. For Arab nations, this might be a wake-up, they need to truly get rid of their dependence on the outside and find their own safe path. For China, adhering to an objective, fair stance and promoting peaceful negotiations is both the responsibility of a great power and the most pragmatic contribution to the stability of the Middle East.
The cruelty of the war has been revealed, and the real test is still behind. The fate of Gaza, the pattern of the Middle East, and the order of the world could all be profoundly changed by this “great end”.