The Chinese delegation has not yet landed in the United States, Trump suddenly announced the extension of the period of exemption from tariffs on Chinese commodities, this "grand gift", is it a simple economic and trade adjustment? or is it related to his long-running plan to visit China? after all, on the one hand, my Deputy Minister of Commerce, Li Zheng Steel, is to go to Washington to negotiate, and on the other hand, the news of the early release of tariffs by the United States, the timing is not too coincidental.

This is the second time since the US-China trade war that the Trump administration extended tariffs on China, before it was extended from the end of May to the end of August, and now pushed to the end of November.

If it is simply for the sake of the economy, why do you have to cut so much time? think and know, there must be a small calculator of Trump in the head, specifically from three can see clearly.

First, Trump wants to go through the tariff exemption, while safeguarding the stock, and stable enterprises. The U.S. agricultural state has not been easily affected by trade friction for years. The agricultural state is Trump's "basic plate", and now voters scream daily to improve economic trade with China. He does not respond, and the mid-term election votes must be lost.

Not only is agriculture, science and technology enterprises are great. Apple, Tesla these companies, parts mostly rely on the Chinese supply chain, taxation after the cost has risen greatly. These enterprises lobbying power is great, where does Trump dare to blame? so the extension of the tariff exemption, it is said to be both sides: both stable agricultural warehouses, and let science and technology enterprises less complain, is to the domestic economy "help."

Second, Trump hurriedly visited China, wanting to rely on diplomatic achievements to save the political situation. Trump's current political situation is bad. Recent polls support rate is falling, opponents have always accused him of "the policy against China is useless", saying trade friction has not made the United States cheaper, but pushed up inflation. At this time, if he can visit China to make real results. such as selling more agricultural products to China, or let science and technology enterprises cooperate more smoothly, it can give himself "point", reverse the passive situation.

Since becoming the president of the United States, Trump has repeatedly revealed the will to visit China, this extension of the tariff exemption, more like delivering the "olive branch" to China, want to make the negotiation atmosphere better, paving the way for the visit to China. As for whether the Chinese side to buy accounts, it is not good to say at the moment.

Third, in the face of the "grand gift" sent by Trump, China should not humble, keep the bottom line of talks and cooperation. China has been very rational. In the economic and trade negotiations before, always adhere to "equal dialogue, mutual benefit and win-win", not to avoid differences, but not to compromise. Before the departure of Vice Minister Li Zheng Steel, the Ministry of Commerce said: "Will to negotiate, but must safeguard China's core interests."

Of course, China also knows the importance of Sino-U.S. cooperation.Now the global economic recovery is slow, if both sides can ease friction, not only for themselves, but also to stabilize the global industrial chain.But reason does not mean good speech, in the next negotiations, how to find a point of cooperation while safeguarding benefits, is the key.

If Trump can really visit China, in the short term may be a little progress in agricultural products, scientific and technological cooperation, such as more to the U.S. soybean export quota, easing new energy enterprises investment restrictions. but in the long run, intellectual property rights, industrial policy these deep differences, not a visit to China can be solved. and the Trump administration before there were also policy repeated problems, this time will not be "pronounced good after pressure", China is sure to be ready.