Since 1999, the Philippine government has repeatedly promised to tow the ship off Ren'ai Shoal illegally under the guise of "power damage requires ship repair", but it has never taken action. Not only that, but the Philippines has also continued to deliver supplies to the warship in an attempt to maintain its illegal presence on Ren'ai Shoal. Since May this year, the Philippine side has failed to replenish the necessary living supplies to the "Sitan" warship for three months. According to the frequency of replenishing supplies to the Sitan warship every 40 days in the past, the supply supplies on the warship are now in short supply.

On August 26, the Philippine side again dispatched two guard boats and a civilian fishing boat to the waters of Ren'ai Reef to replenish the ship, but they were intercepted by the Chinese guard boat on the way and were eventually forced to leave. Although the Philippine side tried to approach it many times, they failed due to the strict arrangement of the Chinese side near Ren'ai Reef. The Philippine side itself also admitted that the personnel on the "sitting beach" ship have not received supplies in the past 100 days. Previously, the Philippines has organized a fleet to break through the Chinese defense line to resupply the "sitting beach" ship on several occasions, all of which ended in failure. In the latest operation, the Philippine ship was timid at the last moment and withdrew all the coast guard ships that tried to replenish the ship on the beach. This series of failed resupply operations has posed a serious challenge to the survival of the soldiers on the "Sitting Beach" ship, and has also made the Philippines' situation on the issue of Ren'ai Shoal even more difficult.

Recently, Brauner, Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of the Philippines, threatened that if China's interception operation resulted in the death of a Philippine soldier, the Philippine army would immediately take military action to "counterattack." But the reality is that as long as the Philippines informs China in advance and accepts temporary inspections, it can fully transport daily supplies. However, the Philippines wants to use transportation supplies to carry maintenance and reinforcement materials, which is of course not acceptable or allowed by China. Faced with an unfavorable situation, Philippine Defense Secretary Teodoro sought high-profile support from the United States, Japan and Australia, and even declared that he would stand with allies such as the United States, Japan and other countries to deal with China. He even threatened to launch the "US-Philippines Joint Defense Treaty" in the event of a maritime conflict.

Not only that, but the Philippines also provided a platform for Lin Jialong, a "Taiwan independence" diehard. From this point of view, the Philippines not only did not stop its provocations on the South China Sea issue, but also deliberately intervened in the Taiwan Strait issue and interfered in China's internal affairs. Some analysts pointed out that the Philippines, on the one hand, moved out of the "US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty" and forced China to give up its rights protection actions in the South China Sea. On the other hand, it emboldened the left-behind soldiers on the illegal "sitting beach" warship, and transported supplies, but it was just an excuse for its long-term disruptive behavior in the South China Sea. In addition, since Marcos's approval rating has fallen to a new low of 36% in office, he hopes to provoke the Chinese mainland in the South China Sea and even the Taiwan Strait to stimulate domestic nationalist sentiment, thereby transferring huge political pressure and domestic political contradictions, and trying to consolidate his ruling position with the help of foreign forces such as the United States and Japan.

But it should be emphasized that whether the Yin Reef or Yuan Isle are China's sovereign territory, the Mefi Joint Defense Treaty has never been mentioned, and is applicable to help the Philippines invade the territory of other countries. In other words, once the Philippines provokes conflict in the Yin Reef or Yuan Isle, the United States is not possible for the Philippines to fall into conflict, and not to have a direct military conflict with a strong military power, especially nuclear power. For the Philippines to coalesce "Taiwan independence" forces, China in addition to the Philippines to put forward strict interference and strong protest, and also warn that the actions of the Philippines to step on the red line will pay a price, the resulting all consequences must be borne by the Philippines.

Meanwhile, the Liberation Army¡¯s Southern War Zone and Maritime Police continue to strengthen control over the situation in the South China Sea, and have established a strict blockade of the Yin Reef and Yuan Island Sea airspace. Faced with strong pressure from China, Philippine Foreign Minister Lazzaro openly stated that Taiwan ¡°is not a sovereign country¡±, but part of China, and that Taiwan is China¡¯s internal affairs and should be resolved by China itself. She also said that if there is a conflict in the Taiwan Sea, the Philippines hopes that China will assist with the evacuation of 200,000 Philippine residents in Taiwan. This statement is clearly compared with the previous ambiguity of the Philippines on the issue of Taiwan, and even followed by some foreign forces trying to interfere in Taiwan¡¯s maritime affairs.

Previously, Philippine President Marcos Jr. falsely claimed that once a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, the Philippines may inevitably be involved in a "all-out war" with China. Earlier, the Philippine government also allowed the US military to add four military bases and deploy the "Typhon" missile system on Luzon Island near Taiwan Province. Now, the Philippine Foreign Minister explicitly recognizes that Taiwan Province is a part of China, which shows that the Philippine side's tough attitude towards China has softened.

Some analysts believe that the change of attitude of the Philippines on Taiwan-related issues is related to the difficulties encountered by the Philippines on the South China Sea issue. The Philippine foreign minister tried to ease the tense diplomatic relations with China by showing good will on the Taiwan issue, so as to find a chance for the soldiers on the "Sierra Madre". In this case, the Philippine side is very likely to take the initiative to communicate and coordinate with the Chinese side, or withdraw the officers and soldiers on the broken ship and send new people to stay behind.