Diplomatic visit to North Korea

existAmong the list of foreign leaders participating in the military parade, Kim Jong Un is one of the most closely watched ones.

Served in North Korea since 2011LeaderSince then, Kim has visited China only 10 times, including 4 times, 2 times in Russia, 2 times in South Korea, 1 time in Singapore and Vietnam each – no multilateral occasions in all foreign visits, this is the first time to attend the Chinese parade.

Looking at time,Kim Jong UnNine out of ten foreign visits took place in 2018 and 2019, when Trump and Moon were actively dealing with the North Korean nuclear issue.

An interesting phenomenon,2018North KoreaThe 5th edition of “China”first visitIn South Korea (Panmunjom) → China (Less than 40 days from the last meeting.and Singapore (First Kim Te meeting) → China ",every visit.before and afterAll ofwith China.haveThe meeting .

After 2020, epidemic factors overlap with the White House, making North Korea's diplomacy once stuck, the only time in the past five years Kim Jong-un.outThe visit was to the Russian Orient Cosmodrome in 2023.

As for foreign heads or government heads who have visited North Korea, in the past decade they have come from only five countries, including Mongolia, South Korea, China, Russia and Cuba, the same number of countries that Kim Jong Un visited abroad.

In June 2018, Trump said he intended to invite Kim Jong-un.White House，KCNAEven claiming that “Kim Jong-un accepted the invitation,” it was unfortunately not later.

In 1956, Kim visited East Germany.

Kim Jong-il and the fledgling Putin, 2001.

Compared to other countries, North Korea's diplomatic work appears to be somewhat monotonous, but if compared vertically, Kim Jong-un's diplomacy has actually been very open.

During his 17 years in power, Kim Jong-il has visited China and Russia, including seven visits to China and three to Russia.

Kim Il-sung was rather active, visiting almost every socialist bloc country during his nearly half-century in power, visiting China 11 times and Russia 10 times.

But dealing with non-socialist countries such as the United States and Singapore,As well as setting foot on Korean soil,It is also the first initiative of Kim Jong Un.

Kim Jong-un met with then-Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong in 2018.

Kim Jong-un and Moon Jae-in embraced warmly.

Interestingly, those who have actually spoken to Kim Jong-un rated him well.

Trump recently said:

"I get along well with Kim Jong-un. He is not a religious fanatic, but a smart man. If there are differences, they will also resolve them with North Korea."

Previously, US media reported that Trump had drafted a personal letter to Kim Jong-un and tried to pass it on, but was rejected by North Korean diplomats - the first time Trump, who has been praised since taking office, has felt ittoThe frustration of asking but not being able to do it.

Singapore's former prime minister, Li Xinglong, had talks with Kim Jong-un, and he said:

“Kim Jong-un is a young self-confident leader, and I think he wants to step into a new trajectory, he wants to do something, so he’ll meet Trump.”

Former South Korean President Moon Jae-in detailed his conversation with Kim Jong-un in his memoirs:

“Chairman Kim Jong-un has repeatedly stressed that nuclear weapons are not intended to be used in order to effectively protect North Korea’s security.

Mr. Moon said that Kim Jong-un has repeatedly expressed a depressing mood about the lack of trust in the international community, such as the United States, in North Korea's will to denuclearize.

He also called Kim “open-minded, pragmatic” and never avoided North Korea’s problems, such as frankly acknowledging North Korea’s road and rail conditions as “embarging.”

In June 2020, on the occasion of the two-year anniversary of the first Kim Jong-un meeting, the North Korean Foreign Minister delivered a tough speech:

“The hope of South Korea and its protector, the United States, for peace has completely disappeared in a pessimistic nightmare, where North Korea has shifted from dialogue with President Trump to consolidating its national nuclear war deterrence to counter the long-standing threat of a nuclear war in the United States.”

This statement brings to a complete conclusion the dialogue between the United States, South Korea and North Korea during Trump's first term.

Looking back at history, “opportunities” often occur only at a certain time.two sidesIf not within that particular period.Do itInitiative or major compromise.and thenopportunitywillA little to pass.

During his 2018 visit to North Korea,Showed Kim Jong-un many charts and videos, includingNew railways and power plantsGive him one.New economic map for the Korean Peninsulaunder nuclear conditions.

After the introduction, Moon personally handed over the USB flash drive containing these grand blueprints to Kim Jong-un.

According to anticipation,North and South Korea must first integrate economically in order to achieve eventual reunification without too much chaos。

Therefore, the Moon Jae in governmentImaginedA series of aid programs.And major projects, includingConstruction ofpenetrateRailways on the Korean Peninsulaand oil and gas pipelines, while expanding trade between China and Korea,sideAccess to Russia's energy supply.

During his tenure, Moon Jae-in visited Russia several times, at a time when relations between Europe, the United States and Putin had cooled due to the Crimea incident.

At the same time that North Korea was in close contact in 2018, China's Dandong on the other side of the Duck Green River also met a wave of economic boom.“North Shenzhen”Under the propaganda slogan of, whenever North Korea shows signs of opening up, housing prices in Dandong becomeIndicators of waiting for opportunities。

On April 21, 2018,Kim Jong Un is there.Labor Partyannounced at the conference.”North Korea willStop nuclear and intercontinental ballistic missile tests and concentrate all efforts on socialist economic construction”，This speechDirectly set fire to the Danish city building.

Everyonethinkby DantonwillexistThe futureMiddle morningChina and South KoreaPlay in tradecrucialRole of，potentialInfinite，At that timeMany economic development plans and investmentsItemsBothwillSite here。

Based on existing railway lines, DandongDistance from Pyongyangonly220 km from Seoulalso onlyby 420 kmAfter the opening of cross-border railways, logistics will be extremely convenient.

As a result of the UN sanctions launched in 2006, the vast majority of countries cut off trade with North Korea.If the restrictions are lifted and Moon Jae-in's economic blueprint for the peninsula is actually implemented, the prospects will be very imaginative.

Dandong Star Building Singapore City and Singapore City "the name itself makes people flatter and give unlimited imagination.

May Day 2018Sectionbefore and after, housing prices in Dandong New Area have skyrocketed, with the market of "one price a day" and "several prices a day" rising from RMB 3,000 per square meter to RMB 6,000 per square meter.78 thousand dollars.。

The building sales.InsideMany license plates from Shenyang and Dalian appeared.evenMany from Beijing、Shang Haiand ZhejiangOfCustomerly。

One personZhejiangWhen interviewed by local reporters, the customer left this golden sentence:

"LikeNow.Speaking of 2003Shanghai housing prices were only per square meter in 20094thousand dollarssame, I can say that the housing prices in Dandong in 2018 were only4000。”

The sales officer said., Danton house prices and the first line of cities differed in quantity, and local customers hardly look at the price when buying houses,"Like scratching a menu".

The Danish port.based onby 2000The dataChina, South Korea and Japan each account for one-fifth of North Korea's foreign trade,justAs the situation on the peninsula deteriorates,Trade has become the absolute dominant.。

The most popular reform and opening up in North Korea2018 and 2019，For "Northern Shenzhen"conceptMost of the people who pay the bill are foreignersBecause ofDandong local residentsalreadyHabituallyisThe Autumn Wind.

As early as 1992, Dandong established a national economic cooperation zoneLater a similar.planOne by one, for example."China-North Korea Border International Financial and Trade Center""Modern Land and Water Ports, Logistics Hub and Industrial Base"and wait.

In 2010, the New Yalu River BridgenearbyDevelopment of the Golden Pine and Wyoming Island Economic ZoneThe official signature,PyongyangOfficially, these two islandsPublicityFor "Hong Kong of North Korea"……

And yet all of thisit was gone, graduallyland，Dandong peopleStartedonAny development concept involving North KoreaCreate immunity.

Sino-DPRK trade is still highly dependent on the old bridge with limited capacity and load. The new bridge has only been repaired on the Chinese side, and the docking project of the DPRK is progressing slowlyRecently, it is said that there are signs of starting up again。

Since the end of World War II, there have been many "economic miracles" in East Asia, such as Japanese miracle, Han River miracle and China miracle，So it was assumed that other countries could replicate this process as well.

In fact, the so-called "miracles" are inherently rare.

itIt is not a model that can be copied, but a product of a specific era, a specific country, and a specific condition.