After the Russian-American talks in Alaska, the planned Russian-Ukrainian summit meeting not only did not appear, but was further away from the anticipated time, and even unlikely.

The expectation that Ukraine will proactively withdraw from Donbass in exchange for the freezing of arms on other fronts is clearly rejected by the Ukrainian side, and the Ukrainian side not only will not withdraw, but instead will strike the Russian mainland, which is still to solve the problem by military means.

The war cannot continue indefinitely, the path of peace talks between the two sides has basically been blocked, and in what way will the war be a ceasefire?

The current situation on the battlefield, Russia is proactively advancing in accordance with the original strategy, on the front of more than 1,000 kilometers, and occupying a strategic advantage, the goal is to establish a buffer zone, and completely occupy Donbass. According to the General Chief of Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, the strategic initiative is in Russian hands, since March this year, the Russian side has newly controlled more than 3,500 square kilometers of the territory of Ulyanov and occupied 149 settlements. The control of the eastern part of Ukraine, Lugansk has accounted for 99.7%, Donetsk has accounted for 79%, Zaporizhia has accounted for 74%, Herzong has accounted for 76%, and the distance to all occupation is not far away.

Russia's strategic intention is very clear. It will use military means to completely occupy Donbas and establish buffer zones at other contact areas. This may have reached a tacit understanding with the United States. Therefore, Russia is letting go and pressing the border with heavy troops. In the Donetsk region alone, 100,000 troops were deployed on the front line of the Red Army City, which looks like they could win it in one fell swoop.

Trump's plan of letting the leaders of Russia and Ukraine negotiate directly to achieve a ceasefire is no longer feasible, but the "fire" still has to stop. There is only one way to cease fire unilaterally. The decision-making power lies with the Russian side that occupies the strategic initiative. It can stop whenever it wants. The timing of the ceasefire is that Donbass has been completely occupied and the buffer zone has basically been completed. At that time, Russia can unilaterally declare that the goals of special military operations have been achieved and the ceasefire will be ceased at all 1,000 kilometers of contact lines.