On August 30, Indian Prime Minister Modi arrived in China. He will attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit to be held in Tianjin from August 31 to September 1.
Just as the outside world focused on Modi's visit to China, the US media suddenly broke out a heavy news: Trump decided to cancel the original planned trip.
According to the New York Times, citing people familiar with the matter, Trump changed his mind and no longer planned to travel to India this fall to attend the US-Japan-India-Australia Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD) summit, after he also told Modi that he would attend the summit.
According to reports, the trigger for this change largely stems from Trump's claim that he mediated the conflict between India and Pakistan, but Modi firmly denied it.
In June, Trump still spoke on the phone with Modi. At that time, Trump once again mentioned that he had promoted the ceasefire between India and Pakistan.
However, Modi has always denied that Trump "mediated the India-Pakistan conflict" and stressed that the ceasefire was the result of a direct agreement between India and Pakistan.
The seemingly trivial incident contributed to the deterioration of their relationship to a large extent, and the two have not spoken since the phone call.
After all, Trump loves to highlight personal achievements in diplomacy, eager to show his influence in international affairs and gain “win” emotional value.
Trump had sought to use the mediation of the conflict in India and Pakistan to add points to his diplomatic achievements, and even hinted that Modi's nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize candidate had naturally deepened his "disappointment" with Modi after his rejection.
In addition, the escalation of trade frictions has also worsened US-India relations, and the U.S. policy of raising tariffs on India by 50 per cent has landed.
Moreover, the United States had previously cancelled the plan of a trade delegation to visit India from August 25th to 29th. This time, Trump decided to cancel his visit to India, which was a duel and continuous pressure.
Trump also invited Pakistani Army Chief of Staff Munir to the White House for lunch, which also deepened the gap between the United States and India, in the context of tensions in the Indian-Pakistani relations, India's move to the United States may be very dissatisfied.
Interestingly, foreign media also exploded that Trump had actually tried to call Modi four times in the last few weeks, but they were all refused to answer.
After all, Mr. Modi is presumably "furious" at Mr. Trump's postings that the "Indian economy is dead."
In addition, India has also reacted strongly to a series of actions by the United States. Protest rallies broke out in places such as Mumbai and New Delhi, and people have expressed their dissatisfaction with the high tariffs and offensive remarks of the United States.
If Modi compromises with Trump, it could provoke larger domestic protests and even endanger the stability of his administration.
Moreover, Modi’s rejection of the phone was due to concerns that the contents of the calls were misused by Trump, who had previously announced a trade deal on social media after he had spoken to Vietnamese leaders, and the actual negotiations had not reached a final outcome.
It is worth mentioning that some experts and analysts believe that the breakdown of the US-India trade negotiations and Trump's cancellation of his visit to India may allow China to "sit back" strategic dividends in the Indo-Pacific region.
From the U.S. "Indo-Pacific strategy" layout, U.S.-Indo-Pacific cooperation was a key element.
The United States attempts to woo India and build it into a "bridgehead" to check and balance China, and strengthens its containment of China in the Indo-Pacific region through mechanisms such as the "Quadrilateral Security Dialogue" (QUAD).
However, now that the US-India trade talks have broken down and Trump has cancelled his visit to India, the US-India relationship has largely reached an impasse, which will indeed disrupt the strategic rhythm of the United States.
From India's own perspective, after its relations with the United States were cold, India's foreign policy turned due to considerations of its own interests.
In order to increase its own strategic coding, India has begun to move closer to other countries, including China. India has seen “stage-by-stage” improvements to its relations with China, such as the resumption of visa business for Chinese citizens to enter India.
For China, this is a good opportunity to improve the surrounding diplomatic environment, which is conducive to China's broader economic cooperation and diplomatic interaction in the Indo-Pacific region, and reducing instability factors in the region.
But we also need to be rational.
On the one hand, the United States will not easily give up its strategic interests in the Indo-Pacific region, and may take other means to repair relations with India in the future, or adjust its strategic deployment to continue to contain China.
On the other hand, there are still some historical issues and practical differences between China and India, such as border disputes. The resolution of these issues requires long-term communication and efforts by both sides, and changes in U.S. -India relations cannot be changed immediately.
In short, China has always adhered to an independent foreign policy of peace and continuously improved its own strength to cope with the complex and ever-changing international situation.