Wen, Observer Network, Bear Detachment

"Essentially, the heart of the Trump and Modi story lies in the arrogance of these two populist leaders who rely on an intertwined network of loyalty to maintain power. But at the same time, this story also reveals how the U.S. president ran headlong into the unreachable third track of Indian politics (meaning an extremely sensitive and untouchable topic in politics)-the India-Pakistan conflict."

Just as the current US-India relationship is rapidly declining, the New York Times reported on August 30 local time, citing people familiar with the matter, that US President Trump had previously informed Indian Prime Minister Modi that he would travel to India later this year to attend the US-Japan-India-Australia "Quadrilateral Security Dialogue" (QUAD) summit, but now he has decided not to visit India and attend this autumn.

Based on this news, the New York Times once again recalled the rupture of relations between the US and India and the leaders of the two countries, and pulled the timeline back to June this year.

The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that on June 17, Trump and Modi spoke by phone, and he again mentioned that he had brokered a ceasefire between India and Pakistan. However, Modi has always denied Trump's claim that he "mediated the conflict between India and Pakistan," and emphasized that the two countries reached a direct ceasefire. The report said that although the matter seemed insignificant, and Trump disagreed with Modi's claims, it still contributed to the deterioration of his relationship with Trump to a large extent. The two have not spoken since that phone call.

In February, Trump and Modi met at the White House.

The White House did not respond to the New York Times report about the phone call between the leaders of the United States and India. Another US media outlet, Newsweek, has also contacted the White House and the Indian Foreign Ministry for a response to the news that Trump no longer plans to travel to India for the QUAD summit, but has not replied yet.

It is worth noting that QUAD was originally established in response to the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, and this mechanism was later restored by the Trump administration in 2017. After Biden took office, he upgraded it to a "regular meeting" summit of leaders to help counter China's expanding influence in the "Indo-Pacific region" and is the main focus of the US government's "Indo-Pacific Strategy." In recent years, this mechanism has also made small moves frequently in substantive fields such as military affairs.

Regarding the mechanism of the "Quadrilateral Security Dialogue" between the United States, Japan, India and Australia, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has previously stated that China has always believed that any regional cooperation mechanism should not target a third party or harm the interests of a third party, engage in a closed and exclusive "small circle" targeting other countries, go against the trend of the times, run counter to the wishes of regional countries, and are doomed to fail.

On July 31, local time, Trump signed an executive order announcing that the United States would impose a 25% tariff on Indian goods exported to the United States from August 7. On August 6th, Trump signed another executive order to impose an additional 25% tariff on India on the grounds that it purchased Russian energy through "direct or indirect means". The U.S. Department of Homeland Security announced that the new tariffs will take effect at 0:00 local time on August 27th, when the U.S. tariffs on Indian goods will reach 50%.

The Newsweek noted that in the more than two months after the phone call of the US and Indian leader, Trump increased India's tariffs, also sparked a strong rebound on the Indian side, and even appeared Indians carrying Trump's portrait and some signposts, marching on the streets.

The impact of the high tariffs will last for a long time and could politically weaken Prime Minister Modi¡¯s position as tens of thousands of jobs are at risk, especially in labor-intensive industries such as textiles, jewelry and jewelry.

Bloomberg local time on August 26 cited the disclosure of several informed sources that India plans to cut Russian oil imports. informed sources said it was India's "moderate concession to the United States", but also indicated that the country did not plan to break relations with Russia.

Two Indian government sources told Reuters that India wants to repair relations with the United States and is willing to increase energy purchases from the United States, but is unwilling to completely stop oil imports from Russia. India's foreign secretary told reporters on August 26 local time that negotiations between India and the United States are still ongoing, with officials from the two countries holding online talks on issues such as trade, energy security (including nuclear cooperation) and key mineral exploration.

As India's prime minister, Modi himself did not comment directly on the tariffs, but he has repeatedly promised to support Indian farmers, which is seen as an "implicit response" to Trump's call for India to open up its huge agricultural market. Farmers are a key voter group, and Modi faces a difficult election campaign later this year in the "agricultural town" of Bihar. He has also promised to significantly cut the goods and services tax by October this year to boost domestic demand.

According to the Indian Times local time on August 25, when the new tariffs are about to come into effect on August 27, Prime Minister Modi made a tough statement, saying that no matter how much pressure he faced, the government he led would protect the interests of farmers and small.

Video of Prime Minister Modi

In a speech in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India, Modi said: ¡°I will tell our small entrepreneurs, our shopkeepers brothers and sisters, our farmers brothers and sisters, our livestock brothers and sisters... Whether it be our small entrepreneurs, farmers or farmers, for everyone, I assure you that your interests are the most important.¡±

He stressed that the Indian government will never let small, farmers and farmers be hurt, ¡°no matter how much pressure, we will continue to strengthen our strength to resist the challenge.¡±

According to a report by the German media "Frankfurt Allgemeine" on August 27 local time, after the United States decided to impose additional tariffs on India for importing Russian oil, Trump tried to dial Modi's phone four times in recent weeks, but Modi refused to answer it. The Frankfurt Zeitung said that Trump had previously posted that "the Indian economy is dead"-which made Modi feel "offended."

Nikkei Asia also reported that some Indian diplomats revealed that despite Trump's repeated attempts to contact Modi by phone, Modi has always refused to answer, which has exacerbated Trump's dissatisfaction to some extent.

The Indian Times commented that the details of the telephone negotiation agreement were not in Modi¡¯s style, and Indian sources said Modi avoided ordinary calls and calls may be in order to avoid ¡°the outcome of the call being distorted by the outside,¡± and mentioned Trump¡¯s previous statements of ¡°mediating the conflict in Pakistan.¡±

The Observer Network.

Extended reading

As passionate as feelings once were, now anger is as strong as it is.

Trump and Modi meet to hug.

Trump and Modi, the two previously met, must be tightly embraced, now the two not only do not meet, not even phone calls, Trump more rarely name insults Modi.

It's not that we don't understand, it's that the world is changing too fast.

According to German media reports, Trump tried to call Modi four times recently, but Modi refused.

Please note: four times.

The Chinese say "three things can't be done," but the Indians say I hate the most three or four times is not enough, Trump you keep eating closed doors.

Why?

Modi was angry.

In the words of German media, Modi firmly refused, arising from both ¡°deep anger¡± and ¡°precautionary consideration.¡±

In Modi's view, Trump had a knife in his back, too rude.

Anyway, in public, Modi likes Trump very much, and once publicly stood for Trump. In Indian words, "Modi always hugs Trump like a long-lost brother".

What about Trump in India?

Trump wants to make money from India, with 25% tariffs not negotiated, and he also uses India to buy Russian oil, adding 25% tariffs.

As a result, the tax rate on Indian goods exported to the United States reached an unprecedented 50%, which was officially implemented on August 27.

The highest in the world, tied with Brazil.

It turns out that Indians thought that they were close friends of the United States. In the end, it was discovered that India was the opponent of the old American fist.

This is not enough. Trump also lambasted India as a "dead economy".

Indians are being scolded for being the fastest growing major economy in the world every time, and you call us a "death economy"?

India is a big country after all, and Modi has a strong personality. Therefore, Trump's call was not answered.

Trump calls again, Modi will not answer again.

The picture shows Trump (left) and Modi (data map/foreign media)

I would have heart to the moon, but the moon shines ditch!

And, the other day, Modi spoke out publicly and said, "I will tell our small entrepreneurs, our brothers and sisters who are shopkeepers, our brothers and sisters who are farmers, our brothers and sisters who are livestock farmers... Whether it is small entrepreneurs, farmers or farmers in our country, for everyone, I assure you that your interests are the most important."

He stressed that the Indian government will never let small, farmers and farmers be hurt, ¡°no matter how much pressure, we will continue to strengthen our strength to resist the challenge.¡±

Moreover, India also stated that I will continue to buy Russian oil.

India¡¯s Foreign Minister Sujetin said: ¡°It¡¯s ironic that the U.S. government blames others for doing business, but if you don¡¯t like India¡¯s oil or finished oil, don¡¯t buy.

What does that mean?

The big stick of the United States has met the tough bones of India.

The temper of the Indians has also risen, and we will not kneel.

But is Trump a good man?

Recently, when it comes to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Trump has flaunted his "achievements" in mediating the India-Pakistan conflict, and also disclosed a detail.

He said: "I spoke with Modi (at the time) and threatened him to end the trade deal within 24 hours if the war did not end, but he stopped for only five hours."

Trump is not unbelieving.

Trump has previously claimed that he has prevented the outbreak of the nuclear war in India.This was strongly denied by India, believing that the ceasefire in India has nothing to do with Trump, and is the initiative of Pakistan to seek reconciliation.

Trump, you are eating Indian tofu!

But Trump did not give up, always talking about mediating peace between India and Pakistan, and now he has gone even further, publicly naming Modi, saying that Modi has implemented faster than he asked.

This is not publicly humiliating Modi and what?

I see a lot of Indian bloggers shouting, it¡¯s a ¡°explosive news,¡± Modi, you¡¯re too weak.

Trump and Modi are ¡°true friendship¡± comics.

Oh, and Trump used to say that in the India-Pakistan war, five fighter planes were shot down; Now it's been upgraded again and says there are 7.

0:5, is one of the biggest annoyances on the Internet about the conflict in India, and one of the biggest annoyances in India this year.

Because the world is inclined to Pakistan's claim that five Indian fighter jets were shot down by Chinese warplanes.

Trump is also one of the world¡¯s leaders, the first to not mention which pot, publicly mentioning five warplanes.

I saw that after Trump spoke, India¡¯s opposition leader, Rahul Gandhi, immediately handed over Trump¡¯s video, asking, ¡°Modi, what is the truth about the 5 aircraft?

Finally, India failed to make it to the Air Force Chief of Staff to "clarify": it was India that shot down five Pakistani fighter jets.

The whole world is stunned, India, can you do that?

Such good news, and you didn't announce it for three months?

But now, Trump said seven more, this is how directly face, India, what do you do?

It must be said that in the field of diplomacy, dignity is never given to others, but is won by oneself.

Finally what do you think?

Let's make three superficial points.

First, India should have woken up a long time ago.

This has been said repeatedly before.

Because there are Westerners lamenting that Trump is undermining 20 years of US diplomacy with India, pushing India towards Russia and China.

What lament!

In fact, in the past 20 years, India has been on both sides, and the fantasy of becoming an ally of the West is not only a dream, but also a dream.

India is not Japan, after all, can the West not tolerate a rising China, but can it tolerate a rising individual India?

If you need India to restrain China, India is a bargaining chip; when you don't need India, India is a broken shoe.

Since they are broken shoes, they will be abandoned sooner or later.

Trump just kicked this broken shoe into the trash can in the most direct and insulting way.

Second, watch Trump win and learn from PK Modi.

After all, these two leaders with distinctive personalities were once known for winning learning.

In many international battles, they always claim to have won, and they have won.

Now, the two old enemies are fighting head-to-head and fighting directly.

Oh, really thin, people's feelings are evil, the rain sends yellow dawn and falls easily. "When I used to go with people to see the moon, they called me sweet, now the new people have changed the old people, they called me cow lady."

On the field of power, yesterday's intimacy and today's ruthlessness are just the norm.

Whether Trump's fist is hard or Modi's wrist is ruthless, let's ride a donkey and read the song book-we'll see.

Third, it is not excluded that there is a sudden reversal.

I always feel that we should also have a clear understanding of this.

Just as they were pinching you to death, suddenly the two looked at each other again and happily entered the bridal chamber. Although it is very dramatic, the enemy is the enemy, what can't happen?

After all, the only certainty we know in this world is Trump¡¯s uncertainty.

After all, although Trump publicly insulted Modi and Modi refused to answer the phone four times, Modi has never publicly named Trump by name.

Leave the favor to the front line, and we will meet in the future.

Moreover, there are various signs that although they say they will continue to buy Russian oil, some Indian oil companies are quietly reducing their imports.

Modi, somewhat still keeps some illusions; Trump is more about putting extreme pressure on India.

Only, even Trump's hard kick, eventually turned into a small puff, but the humiliation of the Indian heart, estimated for a long time can not be eliminated.

After all, without comparison, there is no harm.

Trump says face-to-face is face-to-face, but has China, even in its worst relationship with India, said such insulting words of India to insult Modi?

Real strength never lies in being exhausted, but in being calm and calm.

Indeed, it is a blessing for India to have a neighbor with a consistent emotional stability policy like China.

In India, don't be unaware of your blessings when you are blessed.

Where to go, Modi needs to get more clear.