In August 2025, Europe's geopolitical map shook. Germany-As the "locomotive" of the EU's economy and politics, there has been a major crisis in which support ratings have dropped sharply.Germany¡¯s current prime minister, Merts,¡¯s government is entangled in an unprecedented crisis of trust, with polls showing its ruling party coalition support dropped by 25 percent, while the pro-Russian, far-right ¡°Germany Choose Party¡± has risen to 26 percent, climbing to the top of the voter support.

What is even more striking is that the Merz government was forced to announce in recent days that due to the huge financial pressure, it had to cut the welfare of the people - and this huge expenditure was mainly used for military expansion and aid to Ukraine. Just as Germany is facing an economic "shrinkage" of 0.3% and the quality of life of its people is declining,Putin laughed at the end of the game and became the biggest winner in this geopolitical game.

This article will use detailed data and calm analysis to interpret the logic behind Germany's sacrifice of people's livelihood in support of Ukraine, and reveal the huge impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the political ecology of Germany and even Europe. More importantly, what kind of public voice and international game are hidden behind the change of public opinion from "Mertz was forced to the wall" to the triumphant advance of the pro-Russian party?

1. Mertz desperately supported Ukraine, but became a "German patient"

The ¡°unbearable¡± Murts administration, which has recently acted frequently and frequently challenged Russian President Putin through the media, said: ¡°Zelensky is ready to negotiate with Putin at any time and it¡¯s time for Moscow to release its sincerity. If not, we will increase sanctions on Russia and even launch new tariffs in collaboration with the United States.¡±

Unfortunately, the attitude of the US side revealed a subtle signal. "Politico" magazine bluntly stated that Europe is almost powerless to "kill" Russia through sanctions, and can only "call Trump to help scare Putin". But now, the "Trump card" has become a sharp sword hanging over Europe - Trump's inclination to reconcile with Russia has turned Mertz's threat into a "paper tiger". Putin responded not only with indifference, but also sternly warned Europe to "suffer for itself".

It can be said that Mertz's tough stance towards Russia is not only to cover up Europe's embarrassing "absence" in actual diplomatic negotiations, but also to please the United States in exchange for continued support for Ukraine's funds and military aid. howeverThis stance eventually turned into "lifting a stone and shooting yourself in the foot."

Economic data is a cold fact: the double blow of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Trump's extreme tariff policy has caused the German economy to shrink by 0.3%.This is obviously a heavy acupuncture in the "medical record" of the European economy.

Second, the German people "don't buy it": welfare has shrunk and public opinion has plunged

Financial pressure was huge, and the Murts government had to announce recently that it "stopped providing some welfare treatments to the people."This statement was like a sunshine, like a sharp knife, cutting down people's economic expectations of slow recovery after the epidemic.

If you think about it carefully, "selling kidneys to buy knives" in exchange for tens of billions of euros of funds for arms expansion and aid to Ukraine, it is obvious that the German people have not seen any "benefits" from it. Instead,Their daily lives are directly emptied out of reality¡£

This is not only an economic issue, but also a crisis of social confidence.Mertz-led ¡°Kinshasa/Kinshasa Alliance¡± just got 29% of the vote in February this year, but by August, the latest poll fell again, with only 24%. while the far-right ¡°German Choice Party¡± achieved a counterattack of 19.7% to 26%.

What makes voters "turn their faces" so much? The answer is not hard to guess. * * They are extremely tired of the government's continuous anti-Russian overweight policy, and they are even more eager for a new "pro-Russian" direction. * * After all, the "Alternative Party" advocates reconciliation with Russia and opposes endless sanctions. These "truths" have attracted more than 40% of war-tired German voters.

The popular code behind the rise of the ¡°German Choice Party¡±

To understand today's political earthquake, one has to go back to "What do voters think?" on this issue.

The first is economic anxiety. Combined with the soaring military spending of the Merz government and the tightening of social welfare, the living experience of the German middle and even the bottom class has plummeted - prices are rising, employment pressure is high, and the future is uncertain.

The second is the fatigue of the war. ** The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been ongoing for years, and the Germans are increasingly impatient and even resentful of the continuous military intervention, the endless firing outside the sanctions window. ** The party has chosen to propose the slogan of stopping military intervention and prioritizing repairing relations with Russia, rather than "peace dismantling".

This reflects a broad political resonance in Europe.Economic security and social stability gradually overwhelm the "tough battle" of ideologyMoreover, the German party has chosen to package this topic easily and easily, and accurately capture the people¡¯s ¡°pain points¡± and ¡°heads¡±.

4. Putin's victory: Germany's "kidney sales" in exchange for international isolation?

Putin is not just waiting for the aggressive attack from Europe and the United States. He has already made far-reaching arrangements in the public opinion and diplomatic arena. The German government desperately picked up the ante's sanctions and military aid,In Putin's view, the reality is an unintentional "help" to the internal contradictions of the West.

Economically, the impact of sanctions on Russia does exist, but its firm diplomatic strategy and internal divisions in the West make it confident enough. At the same time, from a geopolitical perspective,Putin has successfully promoted great changes in the political ecology of Germany, Europe's largest economy, which is tantamount to playing a "winner takes all" card.

On the one hand, due to Germany's support for Ukraine's "kidney selling", its economy has shrunk, people's hearts have been scattered, and social contradictions have intensified; On the other hand, although Russia is facing the pressure of sanctions, it relies on its natural resource advantages and international strategic alliances to adjust its front and usher in the loosening of hostility in Europe.

Putin's victory can even be said to be "Another war won outside the battlefield in Ukraine¡±¡£

Germany¡¯s Future: Death or Transition?

Faced with popular rumors and political pressure, Murts and his coalition are in urgent need of ¡°redemption¡± ¡ª but how long the road is.

In the coming months, whether Germany will adjust to the hard line against Russia will become a "death test" for German politics.

But a move toward reconciliation would plunge Germany into a crisis of confidence within the European Union, while coming under intense pressure from allies, especially in Eastern Europe. The US attitude is also a key variable. Despite Trump's "conciliatory tendencies," mainstream Washington remains wary of Russia.

If Germany chose the party to rise to power, it would inevitably launch a whole new policy towards Russia, a turning point, or maybe an abyss.This time, Germany is not just an economy, but a teststone for the international model.

From Merz to the AfD: A "Gamble" of Public Opinion and Politics

Murts¡¯ story reflects the interconnections of ¡°interests and beliefs¡± in today¡¯s international politics: to whom ultimately flow capital and power in order to pursue the strategy of the great powers, at the expense of the well-being of their people?

This political earthquake in Germany also showed people the "difficult problem" of Europe's traditional path to democracy and freedom: economic contradictions and security concerns have created the rise of the extreme right,This is by no means a simple ideological confrontation, but a deep pressure release in society¡£

As the engine of Germany, the global economic engine, is lifted up, we have a deep insight into what will change in Europe and the world in the coming years.

Summary

The German government¡¯s trouble is like a big ¡°pro-Russian and anti-Russian¡± game. Putin has not only held the initiative on the Ukrainian battlefield, but has also blown up a crackdown within European politics. The German people, due to economic pressure and war fatigue, are throwing their support to the pro-Russian far right. This geopolitical shock will determine the path of the future European and even global strategic pattern.

Putin became the biggest winner, while Germany's political pattern and public opinion trend have also become "tears of the times."

Germany's future choice will not only affect Europe's security and economy, but will also have a profound impact on the global order.

What do you think of the German government's support for Ukraine but the public opinion has reversed greatly? Is it the awakening of people's rationality or the embodiment of political extremism? Did Putin really become the final winner of this chess game? Feel free to leave a message in the comment section below and express your opinion!

References:

1. German Federal Bureau of Statistics (Federal Bureau of Statistics) report on economic shrinkage (first quarter 2025)
2. German Federal Election Commission latest poll data (August 2025)
3. Report of the European Parliament and the Commission on sanctions and military aid to Russia
4. Analysis of the Politics magazine series ¡°Europe¡¯s strategy for Russia and Trump¡¯s impact¡±
5. Russian President's Press Conference and Foreign Ministry Statement
6. Official website and public statement of "Choice of Germany"
7. The U.S. State Department and White House's official position papers on European security policy
8. International Monetary Fund (IMF) European Economic Outlook Report Mid-term Update 2025
9. Public media reports such as Der Spiegel, Financial Times, New York Times, etc.