The 93 military parade is approaching: the president of a country announced that he would not come; The country's president says it will "never betray China"

Preliminary

The September 3rd military parade is approaching, and some leaders of various countries have already arrived in Tianjin to attend the SCO summit, and some are still making final preparations for their next visit to China. However, at this juncture, there is a sudden change in one country. The president suddenly announced his absence. Just as the outside world speculated endlessly, the president of another country said "never betray China" once again let the world witness the unique charm of our country in the diplomatic field.

The leaders who failed to arrive in China to attend the military parade in person wereIndonesian PresidentPrabhupada Subi extended.But many people are puzzled to hear this. As an important invited guest of China's 1993 military parade, the absence of Indonesian President Prabowo made the outside world sigh. Why don't you come if you can't?

In fact, although Prabowo's absence is regrettable, the largest economy in Southeast Asia is facing unprecedented challenges. A few hours ago, Indonesia's state secretary said: "Due to the domestic situation, the president canceled his plan to visit China." What was going on with the "domestic situation" he said was actually a national protest triggered by the high salary of parliamentarians? It turns out that the monthly housing allowance of 50 million rupiah (about 23,000 yuan) for Indonesian parliamentarians is enough for several months' salary of ordinary workers in Jakarta, the capital, and the huge gap suddenly became a spark that ignited public anger.

At first, the people only sat in at the gate of the parliament to express their protest. However, on August 25, after a video of a riot car killing protesters went viral on social platforms, the situation suddenly went completely out of control. The Makassar City Council Building was set on fire, and three people died in the conflict. The flames spread from the capital to many provinces such as Central Java and West Nusa Tenggara. At this time, Prabowo is facing a similar dilemma to Brazilian President Lula Lula in 2023. Back then, Lula canceled his visit to Europe due to domestic unrest. Now the Indonesian president must also choose between the diplomatic arena and domestic stability.

What is even more difficult is that the unrest has also been mixed up with political controversy. The Indonesian National Assembly "tailor-made" the electoral law for Kasan, the youngest son of former President Joko, changing the age requirement for local candidates from "30 years old at the time of registration" to "30 years old at the time of inauguration." This naked nepotism caused the protest slogans to be directly written with the slogan "Defend Democracy". Therefore, for Prabowo, who has only been in office for a year, letting the situation deteriorate may trigger a constitutional crisis, which is far more serious than missing an international event.

Moreover, Indonesia's economic development situation this year is not optimistic. Quarter 1 Indonesia's economic growth rate fell to 4.87%, a three-year low, while the growth rate of household consumption, which supports half of GDP, was only 4.89%. The 19% tariff imposed by the Trump administration on Indonesia has dealt a fatal blow to the export industry. Indonesia, which had hoped to earn foreign exchange from nickel mining and manufacturing, suddenly found that the good days of foreign trade surplus seem to be over.

When jobs continue to shrink and unemployment rates soar, people's income cannot be fully protected, and prices continue to rise due to the tariff policies of the United States. People's dissatisfaction has been spreading over the past few months, and high-paying allowances for members have become the match that ignites the tinderbox.

Although prabowo couldn't make the trip, Indonesia's specially expressed apology and respect revealed its cherishment of the relationship between the two countries. In the first half of this year, the trade volume between China and Indonesia has reached 70.8 billion US dollars, and China continues to firmly occupy the position of Indonesia's largest trading partner. Behind these rising figures, it is due to the deep binding of the two countries in the industrial chain. Nickel resource cooperation has become the most important "binder". These raw materials from Indonesia are continuously being imported into my country's electric vehicle battery factories. At the same time, the scale of Indonesia's imports of vehicles and parts from my country has also soared.

Speaking of this, many people are inevitably worried, will China-Indonesia relations be affected if Prabowo doesn't come? In fact, it is completely unnecessary. The real partnership does not depend on whether there is a meeting together, but on whether we can understand each other when something happens, and whether we can continue the cooperation that should be done.

The Indonesian attitude this time is very real, not to find a reason at all, but to let the Secretary of State specifically explain the situation, also repeatedly stressed "respect China" and "hope to understand", and more importantly, has reached an agreement with our country to rearrange the visit immediately before the domestic situation is stable.

Moreover, none of the original cooperation projects have been stopped. Indonesia needs China, and China also needs Indonesia. For Indonesia, the tariffs of the old United States and Canada and the domestic economy are not good, and China is a reliable partner that can help it stabilize its economy and develop; for China, Indonesia is the largest country in Southeast Asia and the core of ASEAN. Good relations with Indonesia can better promote "One Belt and One Road" and play a greater role in RCEP.

In fact, in turn, I think that Prabhupada remained at home to deal with the riots, instead of showing that he was a pragmatic president, first take care of his own country's affairs, in order to better cooperate with others. and our country is willing to understand, also show that China has confidence in the relationship between the two countries, does not engage in a formal activity, and then Indonesia has stabilized, Prabhupada returned to China, at the time the cooperation will only be more real, will not because of this absence to discount.

In the same way as Prabhupada became the bright landscape line before the 93rd parade, it was Belarus President Lukashenko. Lukashenko's special aircraft just landed, the "special gift" in his hand first fire a piece, not gold and silver jewelry, a basket of Belarusian potatoes. The Belarusian President was both to catch up the summit and to attend the 93rd parade, but also specifically to say in advance "never betray China", even his son to school in China became his "point of pride".

When Lukashenko took out the gift, no one would think that the potatoes produced in Belarus, and anyone with a discerning eye could see that Lukashenko had taken this basket of potatoes very seriously. Belarus was the "breadbasket of Europe", and agricultural products such as potatoes and wheat were his family's wealth, and it was also a rare hard currency that could break through Western sanctions and sell.

Compared to some countries, the potatoes brought by Lukashenko are more sincere.In the past, Europe also talked about cooperation with Belarus, not moving to mention the conditions of "human rights", "democracy", the words in the mouth are more beautiful than anyone says can do things but two-sided and three-sided, now simply broke the exchanges / China never mentioned additional conditions, only to see if it can do the cooperation well, so Lukashenko dared to bring potatoes to meet people, he knew that China and the Sino partners understand this "truth", also recognized this "exchange."

The "never betray China" he said in the interview is by no means an empty slogan, but a sobriety forced out by sanctions. Western sanctions are simply all-round strangulation, freezing more than 30 billion U.S. dollars of foreign exchange reserves of the Belarusian central bank, equivalent to half a year's GDP of Belarus, prohibiting Belarus from using the SWIFT settlement system, and even restricting potash fertilizer, the pillar industry of Belarus...

The first step is to open the "settlement channel", replace SWIFT with the cross-border payment system of RMB, and the Belarusian enterprises now do business with China, directly settle with the RMB, and no longer need to look at the western face.

Of course, there is also infrastructure "charcoal in the snow". Belarus's railways and ports are in disrepair. Our country has helped it renovate Minsk Railway Station and upgraded the port of Klaipeda on the Baltic coast, so that Belarus's goods can be transported more quickly to China and the SCO countries. In the first half of this year, the trade volume between China and Belarus exceeded US$18 billion, and it was able to rise against the trend despite Western sanctions. How could Belarus and Russia betray this "life-saving grace"?

conclusion

The 93rd military parade is coming, and a major event that touches the hearts of the world has attracted widespread attention. This time, China stands at the center of the world stage. What outstanding performances will it bring? We will wait and see!