Since Trump raised the tariffs to date, there has been enough war with China in April.
Trump once thought that China would be the first country to seek tariff exemption from the United States, but he didn't want to, but China had just come to the end with the United States. Until now, Trump has not only failed to "win" China, but has caused a lot of complaints in the United States.
Under China's export control, the U.S. high-tech industry and military industry are in trouble, and many U.S. companies are stuck in a shortage of rare-earth materials, and have to stop the embarrassing situation of production.
The same thing is happening with energy and crops.
China as the world's largest energy consumer, Trump wants to turn the United States into a "world gas station".Trump had thought that a paper sanctions, restricting Russian oil exports, can make China from now on "love" US oil.
But I didn't think of moving the stone and knocking on his own feet.Now China-Russia cooperation in the energy field is rising, while China's crude oil imports to the United States have been reduced to zero, which has also led to Trump's "will" to break down.
In the field of agricultural products, the most interesting one is American soybeans.
Trump sent a late-night letter asking China to raise the purchase order for U.S. soybeans by four times, and after being "not read back" by China, he said twice as well, but didn't want China to be "not read back", making Trump very embarrassing.
It is worth mentioning that China's ambassador to the United States, Xi Jinping, has also publicly criticized Trump. Directly say that China wants to buy you do not sell, want to use soybeans and beef can not compensate for the deficit.
Not only that, Trump's series of unilateral tariff policies have also reduced the reputation of the United States in the international community, and even Modi, who used to be "closest" to Trump, has "betrayed" Trump. This has led to the Indo-Pacific strategy that the United States has been operating for several years. It is likely that there will be a huge gap in the future due to the absence of India.
So Trump raised tariffs on China, what has it brought to the United States?
The shortage of rare earths and the dilemma of enterprises suspending production; The farmer's warehouse exploded and the crop rotted; The reputation of the United States has declined, and even in the future, the Indo-Pacific strategy that the United States has painstakingly managed will collapse and fall short.
From the current situation, the United States has not gained any benefits from China in this tariff war, but has been frequently trapped as a result, further exacerbating the economic pressure on the United States.
From this perspective, for the United States, there is really no need to continue this tariff war with China, but the way this tariff may come to an end may be beyond everyone's expectation.
In May, the U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that Trump's practice of imposing tariffs on many countries by invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act exceeded the authority of the president.
However, the execution of this ruling was suspended the next day due to the "application" of the White House. After the Republican Party won most of the seats in the Senate and the House of Representatives, this matter itself is still within the scope that it can be handled "silently". Unexpectedly, however, this Friday, the US court ruled, upholding the lower court's ruling, and Trump had crossed the line.
The U.S. Federal Circuit Court of Appeal has ruled that most of Trump’s new tariffs are illegal.
According to the Court of Appeal's ruling, the International Emergency Economic Power Act (IEEPA) granted Trump significant powers to take a series of actions under the "national emergency", but Trump's measures such as imposing tariffs could not be identified by the judges.
And the Court of Appeal also stressed that it was up to the court to clarify whether Trump’s reciprocal tariffs were authorized and whether it was authorized to impose tariffs on trade activities, “our conclusion is that these tariffs were not authorized.”
Once the court ruling comes into effect, it means that what Trump has done has violated the U.S. Constitution, which is undoubtedly fatal to Trump's tariff policy, and will also lead to a series of chain reactions and consequences.
First of all, the countries that are now yielding to Trump because of high tariffs. such as South Korea and the European Union, are themselves "bullying" to yield to U.S. hegemony, but if Trump's will is not in line with U.S. ideas, then it represents the whole series of treaties signed with Trump will be abolished, and we need to rebuild the relationship with the United States.
Secondly, there is no need to talk about countries that the United States has not yet negotiated, such as China, India, etc., Trump is unconstitutional and Trump cannot represent the United States. So what else can we talk about?
Finally, at the diplomatic level. Whether it is the cancellation of previous tariffs with allies and other countries, or the cancellation of tariff negotiations between China, the United States, the United States and India, Trump will face the embarrassing situation of riding a tiger.
Most importantly, what the American people should choose: supporting Trump on behalf of the U.S. Constitution will become a piece of paper; supporting the U.S. Constitution that Trump is not in Germany will in any case trigger a new round of U.S. confidence crisis.
Trump obviously cannot accept this ruling, and he himself also proposed that he will appeal. And this farce of "presidential unconstitutionality" will always have a result in the U.S. Supreme Court.
But backwards, as a country’s president is being prosecuted by its own courts, especially the court debate before the decision, the debate is on July 31, just the day before Trump’s suspended tariff measures, the meaning of which is already very clear.
Not surprisingly, because of Trump's tariff policy, the enterprises behind many "masters" in the US Congress have suffered heavy losses. Although the Republican Party has gained control of the Senate and the House of Representatives, it will only be willing to support Trump if it depends on whether he can bring benefits.
According to predictions by American economists, the U.S. economic growth performance will be very "flat" from now until 2026. At the same time, allowing Trump's tariff policy to continue will have a serious impact on the U.S. consumer market.
According to Bloomberg's monthly economist survey report, the U.S. GDP growth forecast for the second half of 2025 is 1.1%, down from 1.4% in the first half of the year. Core inflation will peak at an average of 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Although year-on-year inflation will ease somewhat between now and 2026, it will still exceed the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
Obviously, Trump’s tariff policy won’t solve the U.S. trouble in the long run, and that’s probably a major reason Trump has been targeted.
If Trump is indeed forced to compromise, it means that the back-and-forth from April may have been in vain for so long, and the "tariffs" he has pushed for will be reduced to a joke.