The contents of this article are written with authoritative materials and personal opinions. The source of the literature has been marked at the end of the article, so please know.
The Preface:
The Chinese representative landed in the United States and left with the purpose of lowering the US tariff by another 20%. As a result, before the Chinese side said anything, Trump was already "backstabbed".
A U.S. court ruled that Trump's tariffs on China were not "legitimate" and ruled the bill with a "score" of 7: 4, this time Trump's tariff war really became "popular".
Trump's "favorite" tool has always been the tariff war, as evidenced in his first term.
At that time, given that China had not yet developed to the extent it is today, China did not have much advantage in this "trade friction".
For example, at the beginning of the trade war, when the United States increased taxes on $50 billion of Chinese goods by 25%, China was able to "counter-attack" year-on-year.
But when the United States again overlaps, China is somewhat out of track, and eventually the total amount of tariffs imposed by the United States on China is probably two to three times that China imposes on the United States.
This has taught us how to deal with the "tariff war" in the United States, so at the beginning of this tariff war, China seemed to be "calm" enough.
This has allowed the United States to impose tariffs on China even if they were once increased to 245%, which failed to affect China, because China has begun to take countermeasures in the two major areas of rare earths and grain that the United States has highly regarded.
I have to say that this trick is really effective. After China imposed export controls on the United States for a period of time, the attitude of the United StatesRapidly soft.，
Not only had the chip restrictions been lifted, but even the Chinese students who had once wanted to be "expelled" had begun to be welcomed again.
So China and the United States began trade negotiations, and after two trade "confrontations" with "third-party" countries, Trump finally welcomed China's visit.
According to reports, on August 27, our country's international trade negotiator Li ChenggangLED a delegationLanding in the United States, he began to meet directly with many American officials.
Although the United States has softened its attitude as much as possible, in order to "play chess" with China, the United States still has its heart on the tariff card.
For example, before the representative of China visited the United States, Trump personally shouted: If China really cannot relax its restrictions on rare earths, what awaits China will still be a 200% tariff and more "trump cards."
Unfortunately, Trump didn't expect that the Chinese representative hadn't expressed any "opinion" on this matter, and a "knife" from behind stabbed him in the back.
On the last day of the Chinese delegation's visit to the United States, the U.S. Court of Appeal openly ruled that Trump's approval to impose tariffs on multiple countries did not have legal effect.
This stems from the fact that Trump has always adopted the so-calledInternational Law of Emergency Economic PowersThe law, to a certain extent, allows the president to issue economic measures in “emergency.”
In other words, Trump’s imposition of tariffs on all “trade partners” doesn’t really make anyone feel that it comes from special circumstances, and at the same time, a comprehensive action is not legitimate.
Therefore, this bill fell to the dust with a relatively wide vote of 7:4, but in order to "save face", Trump was actually given an appeal period of almost a month.
Trump would not miss this "opportunity" and immediately filed an appeal. But judging from the facts, it would be difficult for him to succeed this time.
In fact, shortly after Trump's current round of "tariff war" began, the US Trade Court had already ruled that it violated US law.
This time, the "superior" court once again concluded that it can basically prove that the US judicial community has "comprehensively" treated Trump's behavior.Disapproval。
And Trump’s recent “unhappiness” is more than that, and even what he promised during his campaign is now facing a “total collapse.”
First, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which is mainly mediated by Trump, has come to a reverse, and it is not easy to talk separately with Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky, and wait for the meeting.“Collapsed”。
Two days ago, Russia launched the biggest nightly airstrike against Ukraine since this month, with more than 30 ballistic missiles directly "baptized" Kiev, the casualties directly prompted the mayor of Kiev to declare "half the flag."
But who would have thought that the United States itself would be "lowering the flag at half-staff" at the same time?
On the 27th, a vicious shooting occurred in a school in Minnesota, USA, killing two children on the spot and injuring more than a dozen others.
Although Trump first expressed his condolences and announced a series of mourning measures, it remains a note on him."Boomerang"。
As early as 2015, in the same shooting case in the United States, Trump publicly opposed "gun control", believing that the reason why the victims couldn't fight back stemmed from the gun control policy implemented by the local Democratic Party state government.
As a result, 10 years later, this shocking shooting will directly affect his political career, especially the upcoming mid-term election in the United States. It is still hard to say how many "running tickets" there will be at that time.
But the worst of all, of course, is the "tariff" matter, and now with the "backbone" of the U.S. Department of Justice, Trump may be hard to turn the wave on this matter.
According to the latest news, Chinese experts believe that in the course of China-U.S. economic and trade negotiations, we will clearly propose to demand that the United States cancel the 20% punitive tariffs imposed on the so-called Fentanyl issue.
If this comes true, then the overall tariff rate of the United States against China will be further reduced, directly reaching about 35%, and China's exports to the United States will also maintain a certain relative price advantage.
Behind this, it was Trump who imposed tariffs on China.“Illegality”。
Regarding the Fentanyin issue, China has long proposed that this is entirely the US side's "no arrows, blasphemous contempt".
Now that even the United States has determined that Trump's tariffs on China are "illegal", what reason does Trump have to continue to maintain "tough measures"?
In short, China's hard bone Trump has "no move".In fact, in the past six months, several rounds of "economic trade negotiations" can be seen, and the U.S. stock, the US dollar, the U.S. debt simultaneously fell.
All this is because of Trump’s crazy tariff increase against China despite the reality.
The U.S. automotive industry, the Agricultural Association, and even Trump’s most valued military-industrial enterprises have “written” for him to lift tariffs.
All of this makes it clear that Trump is now under attack from both inside and outside, and has completely lost the possibility of continuing the "tariff war".
The next step is to see how China talks to the United States, and how the Trump administration will find a reason to maintain its "defeat""Face"Just to .
References:
National business daily "Li Chenggang, International Trade Negotiator and Vice Minister of the Ministry of Commerce, held talks and meetings with relevant officials of US government departments and representatives of business circles"
Guangming.com "The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit ruled that Trump illegally imposed tariffs on many countries"
In a new round of Sino-US economic and trade negotiations, China will demand the abolition of the 20% punitive tariff Liu Peace: or become an important turning point in the Sino-US trade war