Less than four days are left from the 9/3 parade, and Russian President Putin has to participate in the summit in Tianjin in advance, so to arrive in China in advance. This four-day trip is very rare in the wording of the palace, and how can Ukraine give this thin side?
Faced with this situation, Putin can only accelerate his trip to China to fundamentally ease the strategic pressure facing Russia.
The Ukrainian army used drones for 10 days, bombed 12 Russian refineries in a row, and the operation continues, the biggest of which is the "friendship" pipeline connecting Russia to Hungary and Slovakia.
The pipeline belongs to the “heritage” of the Soviet Union, leads to Germany from the southwest of Russia and has benefited Poland, the Czech Republic, Belarus and Hungary along the route.
So when the Ukrainian army targeted this pipeline, it was not Russia that was the first to blow up, but Hungary and Slovakia. Especially for the former, this pipeline, which accounts for 90% of the country's total oil imports, will be a serious incident endangering national security once paralyzed.
Therefore, Hungary and Ukraine first fought and did not negotiate, and why was this not a tool for Zelensky's transformation of pressure on Europe?
Against the Russian side, the situation is not too difficult, and after the attacks on the refineries in several states, the final cost will probably make it difficult for the Russian side to bear.
Some analysts believe that this round of attacks has caused Russia to lose at least more than one-fifth of its refining capacity. At the same time, under the sanctions imposed by the United States and the West, Russian crude oil prices have fallen to the bottom.
Earlier, Trump said that if Russian oil exports fell by $10 per barrel, Putin must stop the war.
Now, the price ceiling of oil cannot be broken, and the amount of oil that originally wanted to make small profits but quick turnover may be difficult for women to cook without rice in the short term. The situation of both ends will only make the Russian economy go from bad to worse.
At the same time, there is a very serious problem is that the domestic people's livelihoods problem has already emerged, on the one hand, the basic oil security cannot be achieved, short-term crude oil shortages make the basic order of society's operation a problem. On the other hand, the effect of economic inflation is rapidly manifested, and the price of food such as essential goods hidden has an unstoppable rising trend.
With the double burden, Mr. Putin also appears to face tougher sanctions and increased aid from the US and the west if he fails to deliver a ceasefire within the stipulated time limit. These sanctions may also include the imposition of "secondary tariffs" on countries that Russia buys crude oil, so this visit to China is a perfect opportunity.
First, Indian Prime Minister Modi, Turkish President Erdogan, etc. are all big buyers of Russian oil and gas, but it is inconvenient to meet on weekdays. Now, through the platform of the Shanghai Cooperation Summit, it is natural to win over relations and discuss the future development and so on.
Second, what China can provide Russia is not only oil and gas orders, but also a large amount of economic and trade exchanges and political cooperation. Therefore, staying in China for four days is not only a continuous improvement of bilateral relations, but also a rigid need for Russia's strategic development. Even the only way out.
It is worth mentioning that the specific arrangements for Putin's visit to China were established almost two months ago, and consensus such as the US-Russia meeting was indeed hastily decided around August 10. This not only reflects the highly forward-looking nature of any country's decision-making arrangements, but also reflects that a game of chess is slowly unfolding like an undercurrent. Putin, who seems to be passive in front of Trump, has really been beaten to the point where he cannot fight back. Power? The answer is right in front of us. Visiting China to seek cooperation is one of Putin's trump cards.
The development of the situation is also worth our attention, but this Putin visit to China will not give the world an unexpected surprise, maybe it will be something new.