Faced with the collective pressure of reformists led by former Iranian President Rouhani, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei refused to make diplomatic adjustments.
Instead, he warned reformists in a very tough stance that bowing to the United States would not bring Iran's security and development.
Khamenei speaks out on foreign policy issues, emphasizing that he cannot kneel down to the United States.
It is reported that Khamenei responded to some remarks in Iran during a recent meeting with supporters in Tehran. As soon as he came up, he emphasized: "Those who ask us not to continue to shout anti-American slogans and demand direct negotiations with the United States only see the surface. The problems between Iran and the United States cannot be solved at all."
Khamenei recalled the Israeli conflict in June, saying that the day after the Israeli conflict broke out, U.S. intelligence officials met with some people in a country in Europe to discuss overthrowing Iran’s current regime in order for Iran to fully obey Washington in the future, and Americans even consider “resettling a king.”
The king mentioned by Khamenei here should refer to Reza Pahlavi, the son of the last king of the Pahlavi Dynasty. This exiled prince has indeed been very active recently.
At the end of July, Dussara Baleevi hosted a conference of Iranian activists in Germany and claimed that at least 50,000 Iranian “refugees” had contacted him to call for the overthrow of the current regime.
[Khamenei's attitude towards the US issue is very firm]
Khamenei now mentioned this person, on the one hand to explain to the domestic people, why he is not willing to resume direct negotiations with the United States, promise to the requirements of the United States, on the other hand is to hit the domestic reformists, remind them not to solve the economic problems, thinking of bowing down to the United States.
After the end of the Israeli-Iraq conflict, the United States and Iran were delayed in resuming negotiations, and Britain, France and Germany began to cooperate with the Trump administration to exert pressure on Iran.
If the United States and Iran still fail to make progress on the Iranian nuclear issue after the deadline at the end of August, Britain, France and Germany will cooperate with the United States to launch a new round of sanctions against Iran.
Seeing that Europe has to cooperate with the actions of the United States, Iranian reformers have made a more pessimistic judgment on Iran's future, and risked "forcing the palace" to ask Khamenei to make changes.
About a week ago, the 27 reformist groups of Iran issued a statement calling for structural reform.
[A group of reformers represented by former President Rouhani are asking Khamenei to reform]
In terms of foreign policy, reformists demand a more moderate foreign policy, a resumption of direct negotiations with the United States, a suspension of all uranium enrichment activities and full supervision by the International Atomic Energy Agency, in exchange for the lifting of Western sanctions.
When Khamenei now mentions that the United States is considering restoring the Pahlavi dynasty, he is telling reformers that even if Iran accepts the conditions of the United States and stops uranium enrichment, the United States and Iran cannot change from rivals to friends. What the United States wants is an Iran completely controlled by the United States.
Both conservatives and reformers can only exist under Iran's current political system. If Iran really changes completely, reformers will also be unable to win the favor of Americans. Only the remnants of the Pahlavi dynasty or other forces that completely obey the orders of the United States will come to power.
In returning to the reformist “tremor” issue, in addition to foreign policy adjustments, the reformists also demanded a series of internal reforms, of which the most important is to require the Revolutionary Guard to “return to the military camp”, not to interfere with domestic political, economic and even cultural issues, and want to indirectly abolish this Khamenei’s power to control the domestic situation.
[Iranian reformers demand restrictions on the strength of the Revolutionary Guard]
In addition to the joint statement, senior reformists, including former Iranian President Rouhani, also spoke separately, calling for reforms, easing relations with the United States and putting pressure on Khamenei.
Faced with stupid reformers, Khamenei is now naturally reluctant to make concessions.
Since Trump's last term, the deterioration of US-Iran relations has led this old man who has been in charge of Iran for decades to decide no longer to trust the United States and even the whole western camp, and at the same time lose confidence in the internal and external strategy of reformers.
Moreover, Iranian reformists are basically from the economic, cultural and other sectors, and have weak links with powerful sectors. On the contrary, conservatives have long controlled powerful sectors such as the army and the Revolutionary Guard. Khamenei can still rely on his conservative cronies to ensure his dominance.
Khamenei is still able to rely on conservatives around him to control Iran’s military regime.
It was precisely because there was no way to control military power and at the same time lost Khamenei's trust that the Iranian reformists were elected president after Pezehziyan, and the conservatives suffered external attacks during the war. They seemed to have gained momentum. The opportunity was not able to truly influence Iran's major policies, and their position in Iranian politics was awkward.
After seeing Iran’s reformists struggle to make big things, Trump also viewed these people as “on the side of the road” and did not respond to the peace talks demands of reformist officials such as Pezzaiyan, but instead continued to pressure Iran to try to push Khamenei and the conservatives down.
In general, the continued pressure from the U.S. West has further strengthened the perception of Iran's highest leadership of "no way out of compromise", the core of Iran's policy towards the U.S. remains to adhere to the anti-U.S. position and safeguard the security of the regime, and not a mere economic settlement, the reformists take the domestic economic pressure and the external situation to try to promote the policy shift.
In Iran, with the reformists openly pushing, the contradictions between the two factions in domestic and foreign policy, and the struggle for government dominance, the Iranian politics will move rapidly toward a more divided direction.