What would happen to Russia without Putin? Let's put it this way, after Putin, Russia is likely to fall into a quagmire of turmoil. This country relies too much on strong people to support it, and the foundation of modern governance is not solid at all.
Like a house, looking at the outer walls are solid, in fact, the bars and pillars inside are not stable, once the people who support the house are gone, it is easy to collapse.
Let's talk about how deep Russia's "dependence" on Putin is. It is not an exaggeration to say that Putin's prestige in Russia over the years is "one call and one response".
Although Russia has made a lot of money by selling oil and natural gas, the real industrial upgrading has not been carried out. The life of ordinary people often depends on whether the international oil price rises or not, and the support rate of Putin's government also fluctuates with the oil price.
Russia's power structure also revolves around Putin. The advantage of this "strongman-led" model is that it can quickly concentrate on major tasks, such as quickly mobilizing troops in the early stages of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
The bad is also obvious: once the strong are no longer there, who will take over this class? how to stabilize the situation?
Looking at Russia's modern governance basics, Russia has not yet escaped the "resource dependence", oil and gas exports have occupied half the wall of the economy, manufacturing and high-tech industries have few to get out of hand.
If you go to a Russian shopping mall, many daily necessities are imported from China and Turkey, and there are very few local brands.
This economic structure, usually dependent on the export of resources, can still be supported, once international sanctions or oil price crashes, it is easy to issue problems, before the West initiates sanctions on Russia, the devaluation of the Russian currency ruble, the price rises, is because the economic resistance to risk is too poor.
Russia, although there are elections, but there are few opponents who can really counter Putin, the opposition is either suppressed or unable to blow up the wave, this "unique" situation, which seems to be stable, in fact hides hidden dangers.
There is no normal power transfer mechanism or a mature political party competition system. Once Putin steps down, it is likely that there will be a situation of "leaderless".
Either several power bosses compete for power, causing the country to be in chaos, or the newly elected leaders cannot control the situation, and local forces take the opportunity to rise and even split.
To know, Russia is a multi-ethnic country, there would have been a lot of discrepancy in the local area, if the center had no authority, it would be easy to get messy.
Young people in Russia are also very confused about the future. It is too difficult to find a good job in Russia, especially in the fields of high technology and finance, where there are very few opportunities.
Moreover, Russia's social welfare is also shrinking. The free medical care and education promised before are now of much lower quality due to financial constraints. This social atmosphere can easily lead to dissatisfaction once it encounters turmoil.
Looking at Southeast Asia, Thailand, although not the "strong man died", but also because of the "strong man politics" left aftermath, the previous prime minister he believed, in the country is very prestigious, thanks to the people's policies won the support of the people.
But it also touched the interests of the nobles and the military, and was finally overthrown by the military. After that, Thailand fell into a cycle of "election-coup-re-election". After each election, some people refused to accept it, either protesting on the streets or taking action by the military.
The country has been unable to stabilize, and its economic development has been greatly affected. Thailand's tourism industry was originally very developed, but because of political turmoil, there are many fewer tourists, and the income of ordinary people has also declined.
Russia's current situation is very similar to those of these countries, except that Putin's prestige is higher and these problems are more closely covered up.
In the end, a country's stability cannot depend on a certain person, but on a mature system, a healthy economy and a united society, if it is supported only by strong people, even if it can be stable for a moment, it will not be stable for a lifetime.
Like a house, looking at the outer walls are solid, in fact, the bars and pillars inside are not stable, once the people who support the house are gone, it is easy to collapse.
Let's talk about how deep Russia's "dependence" on Putin is. It is not an exaggeration to say that Putin's prestige in Russia over the years is "one call and one response".
Although Russia has made a lot of money by selling oil and natural gas, the real industrial upgrading has not been carried out. The life of ordinary people often depends on whether the international oil price rises or not, and the support rate of Putin's government also fluctuates with the oil price.
Russia's power structure also revolves around Putin. The advantage of this "strongman-led" model is that it can quickly concentrate on major tasks, such as quickly mobilizing troops in the early stages of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
The bad is also obvious: once the strong are no longer there, who will take over this class? how to stabilize the situation?
Looking at Russia's modern governance basics, Russia has not yet escaped the "resource dependence", oil and gas exports have occupied half the wall of the economy, manufacturing and high-tech industries have few to get out of hand.
If you go to a Russian shopping mall, many daily necessities are imported from China and Turkey, and there are very few local brands.
This economic structure, usually dependent on the export of resources, can still be supported, once international sanctions or oil price crashes, it is easy to issue problems, before the West initiates sanctions on Russia, the devaluation of the Russian currency ruble, the price rises, is because the economic resistance to risk is too poor.
Russia, although there are elections, but there are few opponents who can really counter Putin, the opposition is either suppressed or unable to blow up the wave, this "unique" situation, which seems to be stable, in fact hides hidden dangers.
There is no normal power transfer mechanism or a mature political party competition system. Once Putin steps down, it is likely that there will be a situation of "leaderless".
Either several power bosses compete for power, causing the country to be in chaos, or the newly elected leaders cannot control the situation, and local forces take the opportunity to rise and even split.
To know, Russia is a multi-ethnic country, there would have been a lot of discrepancy in the local area, if the center had no authority, it would be easy to get messy.
Young people in Russia are also very confused about the future. It is too difficult to find a good job in Russia, especially in the fields of high technology and finance, where there are very few opportunities.
Moreover, Russia's social welfare is also shrinking. The free medical care and education promised before are now of much lower quality due to financial constraints. This social atmosphere can easily lead to dissatisfaction once it encounters turmoil.
Looking at Southeast Asia, Thailand, although not the "strong man died", but also because of the "strong man politics" left aftermath, the previous prime minister he believed, in the country is very prestigious, thanks to the people's policies won the support of the people.
But it also touched the interests of the nobles and the military, and was finally overthrown by the military. After that, Thailand fell into a cycle of "election-coup-re-election". After each election, some people refused to accept it, either protesting on the streets or taking action by the military.
The country has been unable to stabilize, and its economic development has been greatly affected. Thailand's tourism industry was originally very developed, but because of political turmoil, there are many fewer tourists, and the income of ordinary people has also declined.
Russia's current situation is very similar to those of these countries, except that Putin's prestige is higher and these problems are more closely covered up.
In the end, a country's stability cannot depend on a certain person, but on a mature system, a healthy economy and a united society, if it is supported only by strong people, even if it can be stable for a moment, it will not be stable for a lifetime.