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Some have begun to link the two sets of bilateral relationships over the past period to a change in the relationship between India and the United States - the sudden sharp decline in the relationship between India and the United States, and the gradual warming of the relationship between India and China.

According to a report by the Indian media "news18" on August 23, local time, Indian Foreign Minister S Jaishankar refuted the speculation that the recent diplomatic contacts between China and India were driven by US trade actions (including US President Trump's tariff policy) when attending a forum event organized by India's "Economic Times" that day. In particular, he emphasized that it is a "wrong analysis" to regard Sino-Indian relations as a direct response to the development of US relations.

¡°I hope you understand that the relationship between India and China is not black and white, it¡¯s not about what happened to the United States, what happened to China immediately... There are different timelines for different issues and different time spans,¡± he said.

Jaishankar emphasized that India-China relations are part of a long-term evolution trajectory and cannot be reduced to a one-off response to specific global events.

¡°I think it¡¯s a mistaken analysis to try to blend all the factors together and then make a comprehensive response to a very specific situation. Of course, today¡¯s global situation is changing, and I hope you understand that the relationship between the two countries is evolving, that relationship is flowing. Of course, there are other relations too, but don¡¯t look too closely at this connection, the fact is that it¡¯s not.¡±

Minister of Foreign Affairs of India Sujetin

Earlier, after the failure of five rounds of U.S.-India trade talks and India's refusal to cut last year's record $52 billion in Russian oil imports, Trump offered a 50% high tariff and triggered an escalation in the tariff war. Reuters quoted U.S.-India officials as saying that factors such as political misjudgment, signal failure and mutual complaint led to the breakdown of trade agreements between the world's largest economy and the fifth largest economy.

Analysts said Mr. Trump's move marked the "worst downturn" in US-India relations since he returned to the White House in January and that the tariffs could disrupt India's access to its biggest export market and hit sectors such as textiles, footwear, gems and jewellery, which will total nearly $87 billion in 2024.

At the forum event on August 23, local time, Sujetin reacted to U.S. tariffs on Indian goods with harsh words, saying India's trade talks with the U.S. are still ongoing, but there is a clear "red line" in the talks, and India will always make decisions based on national interests.

Suherson stressed that the interests of farmers and small producers are the bottom line of the Indo-American negotiations, "we are committed to defending the interests of our farmers and small producers, and we are very determined that this is not something we can compromise with."The Economic Times said that Suherson's remarks show India's determination to defend domestic interests while in contact with global partners.

At the same time, Jaishankar on the spot again criticized the tariff as "unfair and unreasonable," saying that it was wrongly "packaged as an oil problem," because the same argument was not applied to Europe, Russia's largest LNG importer.

He pointed out that the West's position on this issue is "inconsistent". In terms of trade scale, the trade scale between Russia and Europe far exceeds that between India and Russia. "Some people say that we are providing funds for the Russia-Ukraine conflict... The trade scale between Russia and Europe is larger, isn't it Europe? Invest more?"

Jaishankar also sarcastically said: "It's interesting that a U.S. government that claims to be pro-business accuses others of doing business. If you think there is something wrong with buying our oil or refined oil, then don't buy it. No one forces you to buy it. But Europe buys it, and the United States buys it. So if you don't like it, don't buy it from us."

Similarly, this month, signs of warming have appeared in China-India relations, which fell into a low valley due to the border conflict that broke out five years ago.

China and India, the two Asian neighbors, have been in conflict due to border issues in 2020, and since then relations have been tense, the two countries have been trying to stabilize bilateral relations. Recently, India has resumed issuing tourist visas to Chinese citizens, China has eased urine export restrictions to India. In addition, five years of silent China-India direct flights due to the new coronavirus are expected to resume the dawn, the Indian media said that China and India will resume direct flights as soon as September, and the Indian government has asked its airlines to be ready to resume China routes at any time.

At present, there is still room for further advancement in the preliminary freezing of China-India relations.On August 6, local time, just as Trump announced that he would raise tariffs on India to 50%, several Indian media outlets have cited informed disclosures that Modi plans to visit Tianjin in China from August 31 to September 1 to participate in the SCO Summit in Tianjin, which will also be his first visit to China since 2018.

Modi's participation in the Tianjin Summit also created the possibility for the meeting of leaders of the two countries, and the topics that may be discussed in the potential meeting involve further normalization of relations, including easing tensions in border areas, the resumption of direct flights, the reopening of border trade points and strengthening personnel exchanges.

In this regard, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said that China welcomes Prime Minister Modi to attend the SCO Tianjin Summit in China. It is believed that with the joint efforts of all parties, the Tianjin Summit will surely become a grand event of unity, friendship and fruitful results, and the SCO will surely enter a new stage of high-quality development that is more united, more collaborative, more dynamic and more productive.

On August 18 local time, Wang Yi held talks with Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar

Since then, foreign media reports have generally linked Modi's visit to China to the changes in US-India relations.

In this regard, the researcher and deputy dean of the Institute for International Issues of the University of Fudan, Lin Mingwang, told the Observer Network that Modi's visit to China was a relatively positive signal for the development of the SCO and the improvement of China-India relations. but the United States to interpret this visit to China seems not very accurate, because the schedule has long been determined, not because Trump announced that the temporary decision to increase taxes on India will come.

Recently, China-India has frequent high-level interactions in the fields of defense, security and foreign affairs, and China-India relations have shown a warming up space and momentum.In July, India's Foreign Minister Suzhou Shenzhen attended the Shanghai Cooperation Organization's foreign ministers' meeting and visited China.This was his first visit to China since 2020;In June, India's national security adviser Agit Dover and India's defense minister Rajnat Singh visited China.

It is worth noting that just at the time of the rapid decline in Indian-American relations, as a prominent Indian-American politician in the U.S. politics, the former U.S. permanent representative to the United Nations, former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, has recently begun to frequently publish, but is still uncomfortable to force China.

According to the Times, when Haley was recently faced with Republican criticism for clearly biased India in a trade dispute, she posted on the social media platform X on August 23 local time, shifting the focus to shouting to India that India must take Trump¡¯s views about Russian oil seriously and work with the White House to find a solution.

Haley then turned to declare: "Resolving trade differences and issues such as Russian oil imports requires difficult dialogue. But we should not lose sight of the most important thing: our common goals. In order to deal with China, the United States must make friends with India." In fact, the day before (August 22), she also issued an article declaring: "It should be natural for the United States and India to join forces to confront China. It is in the interests of the United States to help India confront China."

On August 18, local time, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, held talks with Indian Foreign Minister Sujsen in New Delhi, which attracted great attention from the Indian media. India's New Delhi Television (NDTV) on August 19 local time described the visit as a "milestone" for China and India, the two major Asian countries, to adjust their relations to deal with the global chaos caused by Trump's tariff war. The title of its report emphasized this-in Trump During the tariff war, China pointed out to India: "Unilateral bullying is rampant."

Wang Yi told Suzhen that in today's world, the accelerated evolution of century changes, unilateral bullying, free trade and international order are facing severe challenges."China and India, as the two largest developing countries with a total population of more than 2.8 billion, should demonstrate compassion, reflect the responsibility of the great powers, make a statement for the overwhelming majority of developing countries to jointly strengthen themselves, and contribute to the promotion of world polarisation and democratization of international relations.

Further reading

Five years ago, after the outbreak of border conflict between China and India, the relationship between the two countries fell into a low valley; in recent years, the relationship between China and India showed signs of warming up.On August 18, local time, the CPC Central Committee Political Bureau member and Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks in New Delhi with India's Foreign Minister Suzhou Jizerou.

Recently, signs of warming relations between China and India appeared, depicting the Chinese and Indian flags.

India's New Delhi Television (NDTV) reported on August 19 local time that the visit was a "milestone" for China and India, the two major Asian countries, to adjust their relations to deal with the global chaos caused by Trump's tariff war. The title of the report emphasized this--During the Trump tariff war, China pointed out to India: "Unilateral bullying is rampant."

In a statement issued after the meeting of the two foreign ministers, the Chinese side said that Wang Yi told Suzhou that "the world today, with centuries of change accelerating, unilateral bullying is going well, free trade and international order are facing serious challenges", which clearly refers to pressure from the United States.

Wang Yi said that as the two largest developing countries with a total population of more than 2.8 billion, China and India should show their feelings for the world, reflect their responsibility as major countries, set an example for the majority of developing countries to unite and self-reliance, and contribute to promoting world multipolarity and democracy in international relations. Make contributions.

NDTV quoted sources as saying that China has pledged to address India¡¯s three key concerns ¨C fertilizer, rare earth and tunnel drillers ¨C among which, rare earth elements are critical to the manufacture of high-tech products such as smartphones and advanced military equipment, mainly concentrating refining production in China, which makes them strategic for global technology.

The Hindustan Times also reported that through this visit, China and India have achieved positive bilateral results. As relations between the two countries normalize, China will resume supplying India's urgently needed fertilizers, rare earth minerals and tunnel boring machines. In addition, Jaishankar emphasized that India's position on the Taiwan issue has not changed.

Indian media have repeatedly linked the background of the thaw in Sino-Indian relations to the tariff offensive launched by the United States against India's continued purchase of Russian oil.

The Hindustan Times stated that although the atmosphere of the talks between the foreign ministers of China and India was harmonious, US President Trump became the focus of the talks. Both sides agreed that given the current policy direction of the United States, the two sides need to cooperate more closely. The general consensus is that U.S. policies and decisions will target China and India at the same time, and the two sides need dialogue to overcome uncertainty.

During his visit to China last month, Sujetson consulted with Wang Yi on the supply of urine, nitrogen phosphorus composite fertilizer, phosphate dioxide, rare-earth minerals and tunnel drillers, but he did not mention border negotiations and border issues at the time.

A spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China has previously announced that from 18 to 20 August, members of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, foreign ministers and the Chinese Special Representative on China-India Border will be invited to visit India and hold the 24th meeting of the Special Representative on China-India Border.

According to the Indian Express, on August 19 local time, Wang Yi will hold the 24th meeting of the Special Representatives of China-India Border Issues with Indian National Security Adviser Doval and meet with Indian Prime Minister Modi.

Bloomberg on August 17 that China and India, the two Asian neighbors, had been in conflict in 2020 due to border issues, since then the relationship has been tense, and the two countries have been trying to stabilize bilateral relations. Recently, India has resumed issuing tourist visas to Chinese citizens, China has eased urine export restrictions to India. In addition, due to the new coronavirus and other reasons, China's five-year direct flights are expected to resume the dawn, the Indian media said that China and India will soon resume direct flights in September, and the Indian government has asked its airlines to be ready to resume China's routes at any time.

At present, there is still room for further advancement in the preliminary freezing of China-India relations.On August 6, local time, just as Trump announced that he would raise tariffs on India to 50%, several Indian media outlets have cited informed disclosures that Modi plans to visit Tianjin in China from August 31 to September 1 to participate in the SCO Summit in Tianjin, which will also be his first visit to China since 2018.

Modi's participation in the Tianjin Summit also created the possibility for the meeting of leaders of the two countries, and the topics that may be discussed in the potential meeting involve further normalization of relations, including easing tensions in border areas, the resumption of direct flights, the reopening of border trade points and strengthening personnel exchanges.

In this regard, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said that China welcomes Prime Minister Modi to attend the SCO Tianjin Summit in China. It is believed that with the joint efforts of all parties, the Tianjin Summit will surely become a grand event of unity, friendship and fruitful results, and the SCO will surely enter a new stage of high-quality development that is more united, more collaborative, more dynamic and more productive.

Following the failure of five rounds of U.S.-India trade talks and India's refusal to cut last year's record $52 billion in Russian oil imports, Trump offered a 50% high tariff and triggered an escalation in the tariff war.U.S.-India officials believe that factors such as political misjudgment, missing signals and mutual complaint have led to the breakdown of trade agreements between the world's largest and fifth-largest economies.

Analysts said Mr. Trump's move marked the "worst downturn" in US-India relations since he returned to the White House in January and that the tariffs could disrupt India's access to its biggest export market and hit sectors such as textiles, footwear, gems and jewellery, which will total nearly $87 billion in 2024.

NDTV noted that despite India being punished for buying Russian oil, the United States has not yet imposed any so-called ¡°secondary sanctions¡± on China.

In response, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio told Fox News on August 17 local time that assuming we wanted to trace the oil Russia sold to China, we would find that most of the Russian crude oil purchased by China had been refined and then sold back to the global market. If the United States imposes further sanctions on China,"it may push up global energy prices or find alternative sources in the face of a lack of supply."

On August 17, local time, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio received an interview with U.S. Fox News Network.

According to the website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Wang Yi said during his meeting with Jaishankar Jaishankar that the leaders of China and India successfully met in Kazan, leading the resumption of China-India relations. The two sides earnestly implemented the consensus reached by the leaders of the two countries, gradually resumed exchanges and dialogues at all levels, maintained peace and tranquility in border areas, and Indian pilgrims resumed pilgrimages to the sacred lake of Xizang in China. China-India relations are showing a positive trend of returning to the main channel of cooperation. This year marks the 75th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and India. The two sides should earnestly learn from the experience and lessons of the past 75 years, establish a correct strategic understanding, regard each other as partners and opportunities, rather than opponents or threats, invest their precious resources in development and revitalization, and explore the correct way of getting along with neighboring major powers through mutual respect and trust,

Wang Yi stressed that China is willing to adhere to the philosophy of sincerity and favor, shared destiny, and work with neighboring countries, including India, to jointly build peace, tranquility, prosperity, beauty and friendship in the "five great gardens". China and India and China should firmly confide, go towards each other, eliminate interference, expand cooperation, consolidate the momentum of improving relations between China and India, so that the revitalization process of the two major Eastern civilizations mutually promote and accomplish each other, and provide the most needed certainty and stability for Asia and the world.

Sujasin said that under the joint guidance of the two leaders, India-China relations have come out of the low valley, continuously improving development, and the exchanges and cooperation between the two sides in various fields have been normalized.Thanks to China for facilitating the Indian pilgrimage to Tibet, Shikoku Shikoku pilgrimage in China.India is very important to improve the strategic awareness of each other.As the two largest developing countries, India-China adheres to multilateralism, strives to promote fair and balanced world multilateralism, should also jointly safeguard the stability of the world economy.Indiains relationship stability, cooperation and forward-looking, in line with the interests of the two countries.It is part of Taiwan China.India is willing